中国对RCEP其他成员国农产品出口贸易的影响因素研究  

Research on the Infl uencing Factors of China’s Agricultural Export Trade to Other RCEP Members

作　　者：郭鸿鹏[1] 刘爱茹 徐爽 陈志恒[2] GUO Hongpeng;LIU Airu;XU Shuang;CHEN Zhiheng(College of Biological and Agricultural Engineering,Jilin University Changchun,Jilin 130012;Northeast Asian Studies College,Jilin University Changchun,Jilin 130012)

机构地区：[1]吉林大学生物与农业工程学院,吉林长春130012 [2]吉林大学东北亚学院,吉林长春130012

出　　处：《中国商论》2023年第21期72-80,共9页China Journal of Commerce

基　　金：2022年教育部基地重大项目“国际秩序大变革背景下的中国东北亚区域合作战略研究”(22JJD790095);吉林省科技发展计划项目(20230601139FG)。

摘　　要：RCEP的签订为推进区域合作和促进中国农产品出口贸易提供了良好契机。本文在全面了解RCEP协定的基础上,采用随机前沿引力模型及空间计量模型,从时间和空间两个角度全面分析了中国对RCEP其他成员国农产品出口贸易的影响因素。结果表明,中国对RCEP其他成员国农产品出口受到主客观因素的共同影响;在空间上呈现明显的空间正相关性。因此,为促进农产品出口贸易,本文提出中国应维系好与RCEP其他成员国的政治关系,推进数字农业发展;拓展贸易合作领域,优化农业产业链;推进要素高效资源配置,构建良好的农产品市场环境。The signing of the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership(RCEP)provides good opportunities to promote regional cooperation and boost China’s agricultural export trade.Based on a comprehensive understanding of the RCEP,this paper adopts the stochastic frontier gravity model and spatial econometric model to comprehensively analyze the infl uencing factors of China’s agricultural export trade to other countries of the RCEP from both temporal and spatial perspectives.The results show that China’s agricultural exports to other RCEP members are jointly infl uenced by subjective and objective factors;in space,there is an obvious positive spatial correlation.Therefore,to promote the export trade of agricultural products,it is proposed that China should maintain good political relations with other RCEP members and promote the development of digital agriculture,expand the ffeld of trade cooperation,optimize the agricultural industry chain,promote the efffcient resource allocation of factors and build a good market environment for agricultural products.

关 键 词：《区域全面经济伙伴关系协定》(RCEP) 农产品 随机前沿引力模型 空间杜宾模型 

分 类 号：F752.62[经济管理—国际贸易]