农地流转行为的空间依赖性及影响因素研究——基于学习效应视角  

Study on the Spatial Dependence and Influence Factor of Farmland Transfer Behavior:A Learning Effect Perspective

作　　者：周波[1] 张琦 ZHOU Bo;ZHANG Qi(School of Public Finance&Taxation,Dongbei University of Finance&Economics,Dalian 116025,China)

机构地区：[1]东北财经大学财政税务学院,辽宁大连116025

出　　处：《财经问题研究》2023年第11期101-114,共14页Research On Financial and Economic Issues

基　　金：国家自然科学基金面上项目“财政分权、政府间经济职能分工与我国宏观经济稳定:生成机制、实证检验与改革方略选择”(71873024)。

摘　　要：综合考量农地流转过程中流转意愿和流转行为的影响因素,并突出强调农地流转各参与主体之间的学习效应对进一步推进农地高质高效流转具有重要意义。本文基于2015—2018年中国30个省份面板数据,从农地流转契约、农地流转形式和农地流转交易主体三个维度探究农地流转行为的空间依赖性及影响因素,结果表明,各维度农地流转行为在空间依赖关系上呈现一定的差异性。本文进一步采用空间杜宾模型并借助偏微分方法分析农地流转行为的影响因素,结果表明,农地流转行为的空间依赖性主要受内生交互效应和外生交互效应影响,两种效应产生影响的空间依赖性存在差异,外生影响因素(如非农就业水平)对不同农地流转行为的直接效应和溢出效应也存在差异。本文不仅丰富了农地流转行为空间效应的研究,还为完善我国农地流转制度提供了微观基础。This paper explores the spatial dependence of farmland transfer behavior,and makes empirical tests in dimensions of contract,form and transaction subjects.Based on the panel data of 30 provinces(municipalities and autonomous regions)in China from 2015 to 2018,this paper finds that the spatial dependence of farmland transfer behavior in each dimension is variable.In order to analyze the influence mechanism of farmland transfer behavior,this paper further adopts spatial Durbin model(SDM)and partial differential method to decompose the direct effect and spatial spillover effect of characteristic variables on transfer behavior.The results show that the spatial dependence has two features of positive autocorrelation and random distribution,and there is obvious heterogeneity in behavior and time rules.The spatial dependence is mainly affected by endogenous and exogenous interaction effects.The former refers to the influence of farmland transfer behavior in neighboring provinces(municipalities and autonomous regions),while the latter is the influence of external factors that affect the price of farmland transfer and the flow of demanders in neighboring provinces(municipalities and autonomous regions).There are differences in the spatial dependence of the two effects on different farmland transfer behaviors,and there are also differences in the direct effects and spatial spillovers of exogenous factors(such as non-agricultural employment level)on different farmland transfer behaviors.The results show that farmland transfer policies should be formulated according to the spatial dependence of different farmland transfer behaviors based on the learning effect theory,so as to promote the effective farmland transfer,improve the efficiency of rural land resource utilization,and realize agricultural modernization.In the process of farmland transfer,land resources are transferred to more efficient entities and market-oriented operations are carried out,which improves the profits of relevant entities,including land owners and con

关 键 词：农地流转行为 空间依赖性 直接效应 溢出效应 空间杜宾模型 

分 类 号：F301[经济管理—产业经济]