劳动力外流对农户技术持续使用意愿的非线性影响  

Nonlinear Effects of Labor Outflow on Farmers’Willingness to Continue Using Technology

作　　者：唐林 罗小锋[2] 杜三峡 TANG Lin;LUO Xiaofeng;DU Sanxia

机构地区：[1]武汉工程大学法商学院,湖北武汉430205 [2]华中农业大学经济管理学院,湖北武汉430070

出　　处：《华中农业大学学报（社会科学版）》2023年第6期107-117,共11页Journal of Huazhong Agricultural University(Social Sciences Edition)

基　　金：国家自然科学基金面上项目“信息不对称、技术推广服务与稻农采纳行为:基于生物农药的理论与实证研究”(72073048);国家自然科学基金青年项目“生物农药推广中的稻农决策依赖行为:形成机理与影响效应”(72203163)。

摘　　要：在农村劳动力大量外流的现实背景下,以专业化食用菌种植为例,探析家庭劳动力外流对农户专业化技术持续使用意愿的影响以及产生影响的内在作用机理,并采用10个省份的农户调研数据进行实证检验。研究发现:(1)家庭劳动力外流对农户专业化技术持续使用意愿的影响效应呈倒U型态势,即家庭劳动力外流对农户专业化技术持续使用意愿的影响先增强后减弱。(2)因果中介效应分析表明,劳动力外流的影响还部分通过改变农户的技术认知和技术评价间接影响农户技术持续使用意愿,两条路径共同解释了77.95%的总效应。(3)受教育年限、是否村干部、种植规模、成本预期和收益预期等亦是影响农户专业化生产技术持续使用意愿的因素。提出应完善劳动力流动的体制机制,减少劳动力流动的障碍,提升其正向影响;同时,完善社会化服务和社会保障体系,削弱其负向影响,有助于新技术的推广和提升食用菌生产的专业化水平。Taking specialized edible fungus planting technology as an example,this paper analyzes the impact of family labor outflow on farmers’willingness to continue using technology and the internal mechanism of the impact,and uses survey data from farmers in 10 provinces to conduct empirical tests in the context of the massive outflow of rural labor.The study reveals the following findings:1)The effect of family labor outflow on farmers’willingness to continue using technology exhibits an inverted U shaped pattern,initially strengthening and then weakening this willingness.2)The analysis of causal mediation effects indicates that the impact of labor outflow also indirectly influences farmers’willingness to continue using technology partly by changing farmers’technological cognition and evaluation,with these two paths explaining a total effect of 77.95%.3)Factors such as years of education,village cadre status,cultivation scale,cost expectations and profit expectations also influence farmers’willingness to continue to use specialized production technology.Therefore,It is proposed that the institutional mechanism of labour mobility should be improved to reduce the barriers to labour mobility and enhance its positive impact.At the same time,social services and social security system should be improved to weaken its negative impact,which will help to promote new technologies and improve the specialization of edible fungus production.

关 键 词：劳动力外流 持续使用意愿 技术认知 技术评价 倒U型 

分 类 号：F323.3[经济管理—产业经济]