我国城乡群众体育协调发展评价及其时空动态演进研究  

Evaluation and Space-time Dynamic Evolution of Coordinated Development of Urban and Rural Mass Sports in China

作　　者：孟杰 杜志娟 陈庆杰 MENG Jie;DU Zhijuan;CHEN Qingjie(School of P.E.and Health,Linyi University,Linyi 276005,Shandong,China)

机构地区：[1]临沂大学体育与健康学院,山东临沂276005

出　　处：《山东体育学院学报》2023年第5期98-106,共9页Journal of Shandong Sport University

基　　金：国家社会科学基金一般项目(编号:17BTY084);山东省本科教学改革研究项目(编号:M2020099);临沂市社科规划项目(编号:2023LX092)。

摘　　要：该研究基于WSR系统方法论对城乡群众体育协调发展指标体系进行构建,运用耦合协调模型和探索性空间数据分析法,利用ArcGIS和GeoDa软件对我国31个省区市2015—2019年城乡群众体育协调发展水平进行了时空变化的定量分析,探索了城乡群众体育耦合协调度的时间演变规律,系统分析了城乡群众体育协调发展的空间格局。研究结果显示:(1)近年来,我国城乡群众体育协调发展水平呈上升趋势,但是整体偏低,总体上并未达到协调发展水平。其中,城镇群众体育发展迅速,空间格局上趋于均衡;乡村群众体育发展速度相对缓慢,地区差异较大。(2)我国城乡群众体育协调发展水平的空间分布相对不均衡,呈现出东部>中部>东北>西部的分布特征。其中,东部地区城乡群众体育发展协调水平较高,并具有一定的稳定性;西部地区处于相对停滞状态;中部地区和东北地区处于不稳定的过渡发展状态。(3)我国城乡群众体育协调发展水平存在整体空间自相关,大体呈现东部地区高水平聚集和西部地区低水平聚集两种自相关聚集类型。Based on WSR system methodology,the index system of coordinated development of urban and rural mass sports was constructed.Using coupling coordination model and exploratory spatial data analysis methods and ArcGIS,GeoDa to conduct temporal and spatial quantitative analysis of coordinated development level of urban and rural mass sports in 31 provincial units in China from 2015 to 2019.The temporal evolution law of coupling coordination degree of coordinated development of urban and rural mass sports was explored,and the spatial pattern was also systematically analyzed.The results show that:(1)The coordinated development level of urban and rural mass sports in China is generally low.Although the trend has been rising in recent years,it has not reached the level of coordinated development.Mass sports in urban and rural develops rapidly,and the spatial pattern tend to be balanced.The development speed of rural mass sports is relatively slow,and the regional differences are increased.(2)The spatial distribution of the coordination level of urban and rural mass sports development in China is relatively imbalanced,showing the characteristics of eastern>central>northeast>western;The coordination level of urban and rural mass sports development in eastern China is relatively high and has certain stability;The western region is in a state of relative stagnation;The middle region and northeast region are in unstable transitional development state.(3)The coordinated development level of urban and rural mass sports in China has an overall spatial autocorrelation,and locally shows the same type of aggregation pattern with polarization at both ends.The eastern region has high level of development and agglomeration,while the western region has significant low level of agglomeration.

关 键 词：群众体育 城市与乡村 耦合协调度 时空格局 

分 类 号：G812.4[文化科学—体育学]