人往高处走:行政等级与省会扩张  

Men Go to the High:Administrative Hierarchy and Provincial Capital Expansion

作　　者：王猛[1] 赵小庆 WANG Meng;ZHAO Xiaoqing

机构地区：[1]陕西师范大学国际商学院,陕西西安710119

出　　处：《城市发展研究》2023年第9期52-59,共8页Urban Development Studies

基　　金：国家社会科学基金教育学一般项目“‘双一流’大学跨城市布局研究”(BFA220177)。

摘　　要：省会扩张指省会人口相对于全省人口和第一大非省会人口的增加,这一现象在中国各省广泛存在且持续强化。借助副省级省会和地级省会在行政等级上的差异,构建回归模型识别行政等级对省会扩张的影响。基于2005—2020年省级面板数据的分析表明,行政等级推动了省会扩张:与拥有地级省会的省份相比,省会为省内唯一副省级城市的省份中省会人口占比、省会首位度分别增加0.05和0.87,省会为副省级且拥有计划单列市的省份中省会人口占比、省会首位度分别增加0.02和0.44。以非省会在1949年末的行政等级为工具变量的估计结果支持上述因果关系。进一步分析发现省会的公共品优势是重要的作用机制。Provincial capital expansion refers to the increase of provincial capital population divided by provincial population or population of the largest non-provincial city,which is widespread and continuously strengthened in provinces of China.Based on the difference of administrative hierarchy between sub-provincial capitals and prefecture-level capitals,a regression model is constructed to identify the impact of administrative hierarchy on provincial capital expansion.Analysis based on provincial panel data from 2005 to 2020 shows that administrative hierarchy promotes provincial capital expansion.Compared with provinces owning a prefecture-level capital,population ratio of provincial capital to province and primacy of provincial capital in a province whose capital is the only sub-provincial city increase by 0.05 and 0.87 respectively,and in a province that owns both a sub-provincial provincial capital and an independent plan city 0.02 and 0.44 respectively.Employing the administrative hierarchy of non-provincial capital cities at the end of 1949 as an instrumental variable,estimation results support the causal relationship above.Further analysis shows that the advantage of public goods in provincial capitals is an important mechanism.

关 键 词：省会扩张 行政等级 首位度 人口 

分 类 号：F291[经济管理—国民经济]