超级高铁安全评判的解释结构模型  

Interpretative structural modeling for hyperloop safety evaluation

作　　者：王晨菡 王肖寒 吴翊恺 WANG Chenhan;WANG Xiaohan;WU Yikai(School of Automation,Nanjing University of Science and Technology,Nanjing 210094,China)

机构地区：[1]南京理工大学自动化学院,南京210094

出　　处：《交通科技与经济》2023年第6期62-71,共10页Technology & Economy in Areas of Communications

基　　金：河南省科技攻关项目(182102310004);中国铁路上海局科研项目(202201)。

摘　　要：为探究超级高铁初期的安全性,提出一种基于概念扇的超级高铁安全性解释结构模型。首先,利用概念扇对超级高铁的5类安全问题进行初步分析,得到18种潜在风险要素;其次,采用解释结构模型进一步分析风险要素间的相互关系并划分层级,建立超级高铁安全模型,找出影响超级高铁安全运行的深层次、间接和直接风险要素;最后,根据超级高铁安全模型,提出相应的风险管控措施。结果表明,主观原因是影响超级高铁安全运行的最深层风险要素;检测系统故障、管道损坏和端口对接密封性差是影响超级高铁安全运行的间接风险要素;抽气系统故障、过渡舱损坏和未检测到列车驶入是影响超级高铁安全运行的最直接风险要素。To explore the safety of the hyperloop at the initial stage,a safety interpretative structural modeling of hyperloop based on concept fan is proposed.Firstly,the concept fan was used to conduct a preliminary analysis on the 5 types of safety issues of the hyperloop,and 18 potential risk factors were obtained.Secondly,the interpretive structural modeling was adopted to make further analysis on the interrelationships between risk factors and classify them into hierarchies.A hyperloop safety model was established,the direct,indirect,and deep-level risk factors affecting the safe operation of the hyperloop were found.Finally,in line with the safety model of the hyperloop,the corresponding risk control measures were put forward of the hyperloop was constructed.In line with the results,the subjective factors are the deepest risk factors are indicated to affect the safe operation of the hyperloop.The indirect risk factors affecting the safe operation of the hyperloop include detection system failure,pipeline damage,and poor port docking sealing performance.The most direct risk factors affecting the safe operation of the hyperloop include failure of the pumping system,damage to the transparent module and failure to detect an incoming train.

关 键 词：超级高铁 安全分析 概念扇 解释结构模型 风险管控措施 

分 类 号：U491.31[交通运输工程—交通运输规划与管理]