依附与脱嵌:家庭系统视角下农业转移人口定居意愿研究  

Attachment and Disengagement:A Study of Settlement Intention among Rural Migrants from the Family System Perspective

作　　者：杨烁晨 杜海峰[1] 车蕾 Yang Shuochen;Du Haifeng;Che Lei(School of Public Policy and Administration,Xian Jiaotong University;School of Public Administration,Xian University of Architecture and Technology)

机构地区：[1]西安交通大学公共政策与管理学院 [2]西安建筑科技大学公共管理学院

出　　处：《劳动经济研究》2023年第3期97-119,共23页Studies in Labor Economics

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重点项目“以生计与基层治理为重点的西部脱贫攻坚与乡村振兴有效衔接实现路径研究”(21AGL028)的资助。

摘　　要：农业转移人口的定居意愿对新型城镇化战略的推进具有重要意义。本文基于家庭系统理论,利用课题组收集的全国农村调查数据,采用内生转换Probit模型分析了家庭结构变化对农业转移人口定居意愿的影响。研究结果表明,家庭结构变化促进了农业转移人口的城市定居意愿。家庭系统中成员间群聚的动力是影响定居意愿的关键驱动,并通过代际关系产生了不同作用路径。子代对父代的经济支持以及良好的代际情感支持有利于家庭的现代化转型,并正向影响家庭结构变化对农业转移人口定居意愿的促进作用。推进农业转移人口向城镇的有序转移,需要积极推动农业转移人口的家庭转型,提升个体与家庭的经济脱嵌能力,加强家庭系统对个体的照料和情感功能。The settlement intention of rural migrants plays a crucial role in promoting China’s new urbanization strategy.Drawing upon the family system theory and utilizing the national rural survey data,this study employs an endogenous switching Probit model to examine how changes in family structure impact the settlement intention of rural migrants.The findings indicate a positive association between changes in family structure and the settlement intention of rural migrants.The inclination for familial clustering within the family system serves as a fundamental driver influencing settlement intention,and it also gives rise to diverse pathways through intergenerational relationships.The provision of financial support from children to parents,coupled with positive intergenerational emotional support,benefits the contemporary transformation of families and significantly influences the impact of family structure changes on the settlement intention of rural migrants.To facilitate a well-organized transition of rural migrants,active efforts should be made to encourage the family transformation of rural migrants,to enhance the economic decoupling capability between individuals and families,and to strengthen the care and emotional functions of the family system to individuals.

关 键 词：农业转移人口 定居意愿 家庭系统理论 内生转换Probit模型 

分 类 号：F323.6[经济管理—产业经济]