申诉者在国际贸易争端中的作用研究——来自案件层面的微观经验证据  

The Role of Complainants in International Trade Disputes——Micro Evidence at the Case Level

作　　者：王孝松[1] 王艳艳 WANG Xiaosong;WANG Yanyan(Renmin University of China,Beijing,China)

机构地区：[1]中国人民大学经济学院,100872

出　　处：《经济学动态》2023年第9期72-91,共20页Economic Perspectives

基　　金：北京市习近平新时代中国特色社会主义思想研究中心项目“增强国内国际两个市场两种资源联动效应研究”(23LLLJA020)。

摘　　要：在国际贸易争端中,以利益集团为代表的申诉者能对反倾销裁定结果及税率的高低施加影响,因此有必要研究反倾销申诉者在国际贸易中所发挥的作用。本文依托国际贸易理论中经典的“保护待售”模型,以欧盟对华反倾销为例定量分析反倾销税率的影响因素,特别考察以申诉者性质和厂商代表性测度的申诉者势力对反倾销裁定税率的影响。实证结果表明,在考察期内,各种政治经济因素的互动最终决定了欧盟对华反倾销税的裁定结果。申诉者势力会显著影响反倾销案件的裁定结果从而对双边贸易产生影响,申诉者的部分行业特征也会对反倾销税率裁定产生影响,终裁税率对“保护待售”模型的适用性强于初裁税率。本文扩展了“保护待售”模型的应用范围,并从申诉者特征这一新视角为中国各界应对贸易伙伴的限制性措施、促进对外贸易的健康发展提供了洞察和启示。In international trade disputes, the complainants represented by interest groups can exert influence on the results of anti-dumping rulings and the level of tax rates, thus it is necessary to examine the role of anti-dumping complainants in international trade. This paper takes the EU's anti-dumping against China as an example for empirical analysis. Relying on the classic “protection for sale” model in international trade theory, this paper quantitatively analyzes factors affecting the EU's anti-dumping tax rate ruling on China, especially the impact of the complainants' political power on the ruling results measured by the nature of the complainants and the representativeness of the manufacturers. The empirical results show that during the inspection period, the interaction of various political and economic factors ultimately determines the ruling result of the EU's anti-dumping duties on China. The political power of the complainants significantly affects the ruling results of anti-dumping cases and then the bilateral trade pattern. Some industry characteristics of the complainants also affect the ruling of anti-dumping tax rate. The final ruling tax rate is more applicable to the “protection for sale” model than the initial ruling tax rate. This paper expands the application scope of the “protection for sale” model, and provides insight and enlightenment for all sectors of China to deal with restrictive measures against trading partners and promote the healthy development of foreign trade from the new perspective of complainants' characteristics.

关 键 词：申诉者 反倾销 保护待售模型 行业协会 

分 类 号：F752.02[经济管理—国际贸易]