中国流动人口孩次递进生育意愿的影响因素  

Influencing Factor of Children's Progressive Childbearing Willingness of Floating Population in China

作　　者：代燕[1] 梁海艳 DAI Yan;LIANG Haiyan(School of Culture and Tourism,Qujing Normal University,Qujing Yunnan 655011,China;School of Law and Public Administration,Qujing Normal University,Qujing Yunnan 655011,China)

机构地区：[1]曲靖师范学院文化旅游学院,云南曲靖655011 [2]曲靖师范学院法律与公共管理学院,云南曲靖655011

出　　处：《曲靖师范学院学报》2023年第5期105-114,共10页Journal of Qujing Normal University

基　　金：2023年云南省教育厅项目“流动人口族际通婚与多民族家庭关系调适研究”(2023J1017);2021年国家社会科学基金项目“地理通婚圈对家庭代际支持功能的影响研究”(21XRK004);“2021年云南省中青年学术和技术带头人后备人才项目”(202205AC160003);曲靖师范学院2022年校级创新团队“曲靖师范学院易地扶贫搬迁移民社会化与可持续脱贫研究”;曲靖师范学院“云南女性与社会发展研究基地”研究成果。

摘　　要：利用2018年全国流动人口动态监测调查数据,使用二元Logistic回归分析模型方法,对中国流动人口递进生育意愿进行研究。结果发现:不同孩次的生育意愿存在显著的差别:一孩生育意愿特别高,二孩及以上的生育意愿较低,尤其是三孩及以上的生育意愿更低。流动人口不同孩次递进生育意愿的影响因素具有明显的差别,在控制了流动人口个体基本特征、流动特征和经济状况后,流动人口已有孩子的数量和性别都是影响其递进生育意愿的重要因素。在国家三孩生育政策背景下,为了适度提高流动人口的生育意愿和生育水平,本研究提出了相关的对策和建议,为流动人口构建一个友好型的育儿环境,具有十分重要的社会现实意义。The progressive fertility intention of floating population was studied based on the dynamic monitoring and survey data of floating population in 2018 and the method of binary Logistic regression analysis model.The results showed that there were significant differences in fertility willingness among different children.One child had a particularly high willingness to give birth,and the willingness to give birth to two or more children was lower,especially for three or more children.The influencing factors of different children's progressive childbearing intention of floating population are obviously differentcontrolling the basic characteristics,mobility characteristics and economy of floating population.After the situation,the number and gender of children in the floating population are important factors affecting their progressive willingness to have children.Relevant countermeasures and suggestions are put forward under the background of the national three-child policy to moderately improve the fertility willingness and level of the floating population.Building a friendly child-rearing environment for the floating populationis of great social practical significance.

关 键 词：流动人口 孩次 递进生育 生育意愿 

分 类 号：C924.21[社会学—人口学]