基于ISM-ANP-Fuzzy算法的地铁车站火灾安全韧性评价体系  

Evaluation System for Fire Safety Resilience of Subway Stations Based on ISM-ANP-Fuzzy Algorithm

作　　者：黄亚江 康飞 易杰 鹿鑫月 王雅姝 李锦博 HUANG Yajiang;KANG Fei;YI Jie;LU Xinyue;WANG Yashu;LI Jinbo(School of Economics and Management,Tianjin Renai College,301636,Tianjin,China;不详)

机构地区：[1]天津仁爱学院经济与管理学院,天津301636 [2]天津财经大学管理科学与工程学院,天津300222 [3]北京建筑大学城市经济与管理学院,北京102616

出　　处：《城市轨道交通研究》2023年第11期31-35,42,共6页Urban Mass Transit

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(71571130)。

摘　　要：目的:为了减少地铁车站火灾事故的发生,需更深入地探究地铁车站火灾安全韧性的形成机理。方法:简要介绍了韧性及安全韧性的概念,建立了地铁车站火灾安全韧性模型。建立了基于ISM(解释结构模型)-ANP(网络分析法)-Fuzzy(模糊综合评价)算法的地铁车站火灾安全韧性评价体系,利用ISM法确定了各指标间相互影响关系,采用ANP计算得到各指标的权重,采用Fuzzy法对指标进行定量分析,以消除专家打分的主观性。最后以上海轨道交通线网的人民广场换乘站为案例,对该评价体系的适用性进行评估。结果及结论:该体系具有较强的适用性,可有效测量地铁火灾的安全韧性。提高抵御能力和适应能力的韧性等级,是提升地铁车站消防体系火灾应对能力的有效途径。提升火灾自动报警系统及喷灭火系统的质量,通过培训来提高车站安全管理人员的能力水平和专业程度,是提高地铁车站火灾安全韧性的有效措施。Objective:In order to reduce the occurrence of subway station fires,it is necessary to delve deeper into the formation mechanism of subway safety resilience.Method:With a brief introduction to the concept of resilience and safety resilience,a subway fire safety resilience model is established,with its evaluation system based on ISM(interpretative structural modeling)-ANP(analytic network process)-Fuzzy(fuzzy comprehensive evaluation)algorithm.ISM is used to determine the internal relationship between indicators,ANP calculation is used to find the weight of indicators,and Fuzzy is carried out to analyze quantitatively the indicators,and eliminate the subjectivity of expert scoring.Finally,taking the People′s Square Transfer Station of Shanghai rail transit network as a case study,the applicability of this evaluation system is assessed.Result&Conclusion:Improving the resiliency level to enhance the ability to resist and adapt is an effective way to improve the subway fire-fighting system′s ability to respond to fires.Effective measures to increase the fire safety resiliency of subway stations include improving the quality of fire automatic alarm systems and sprinkler systems,and enhancing the competence and professionalism of station safety management personnel through training.

关 键 词：地铁车站火灾 安全韧性 评价指标体系 解释结构模型法 网络分析法 模糊综合评价法 

分 类 号：U231.96[交通运输工程—道路与铁道工程]