浙江农民收入结构优化、均衡增长的对策研究——基于县域数据的实证分析  

Countermeasure of farmers income structure optimization and balanced growth in Zhejiang,China:empirical analysis based on county data

作　　者：孙永朋[1] 徐萍[1] 毛文琳 王美青[1] 王宇晗 SUN Yongpeng;XU Ping;MAO Wenlin;WANG Meiqing;WANG Yuhan(Institute of Rural Development,Zhejiang Academy of Agricultural Sciences,Hangzhou 310021,China;College of Economics and Management,China Jiliang University,Hangzhou 310018,China)

机构地区：[1]浙江省农业科学院农村发展研究所,浙江杭州310021 [2]中国计量大学经济与管理学院,浙江杭州310018

出　　处：《浙江农业学报》2023年第11期2742-2750,共9页Acta Agriculturae Zhejiangensis

基　　金：浙江省科技厅软科学项目(2021C25G1751568)。

摘　　要：农民收入是“三农”问题的关键与核心。本文从浙江省历年统计数据出发,通过统计性描述和计量模型构建,对浙江省县域水平上农民收入的动态趋势、结构变化、影响因素等进行系统分析。研究发现,浙江农民收入在经历了长期的高速增长后,呈现基数高、增速缓的特征,总体上出现“疲态”。因此,今后浙江农民收入的增长目标应集中在调结构、促均衡上。浙江省县域农民收入的非均衡性显著,但县域差距总体呈逐年下降趋势。提高经营净收入和转移净收入将显著促进区域间农民收入的均衡增长。经济密度对农民收入具有显著正向影响。此外,对农民收入有显著正向效应的因素还包括人均农业产值、固定资产投资水平、政策倾向水平。在此基础上,提出以区域经济为抓手、促进农民收入均衡增长,以制度创新为突破、促进农民收入结构优化,以创新创业为载体、激发农民收入增长活力的政策建议。Farmer s income is the key and core of issues of agriculture,farmer and rural area.Based on the statistical data of Zhejiang Province,China,the dynamic trend,structural changes and influencing factors of farmers income at county level were systematically investigated through statistical description and econometric model construction.It was shown that after a long period of rapid growth,farmers income in Zhejiang Province exhibited the characteristics of high base and slow growth,indicating a“fatigue state”in general.Thus,the growth target should be focused on adjusting structure and promoting equilibrium.The non-equilibrium of farmers income at county level was significant in Zhejiang Procinve,but the gap within counties showed a decreasing trend year by year.Increasing the net operation income and transfer income would significantly promote the balanced growth of farmers income within regions.Economic density had significant positive influence on farmer s income.Besides,per capita agricultural output value,fixed asset investment level,policy priorities also had significant positive influence on farmer s income.On the basis,countermeasures were put forward,such as taking the regional economy as the starting point to promote the balanced growth of farmers income,promoting the optimization of farmers income structure with institutional innovation as a breakthrough,stimulating the vitality of farmers income growth with innovation and entrepreneurship as the carrier.

关 键 词：农民收入 收入结构 均衡增长 县域经济 

分 类 号：S-9[农业科学] F304.8[经济管理—产业经济]