中国向RCEP成员国数字服务贸易出口效率与潜力研究——基于随机前沿引力模型  

Research on the efficiency and potential of China’s export of digital service trade to RCEP member countries--Based on stochastic frontier gravity model

作　　者：张希颖[1] 刘敏 ZHANG Xi-ying;LIU Min(School of Business,Hebei University of Economics and Business,Shijiazhuang,Hebei 050062)

机构地区：[1]河北经贸大学商学院,河北石家庄050062

出　　处：《价格月刊》2023年第12期78-86,共9页

基　　金：河北省商务厅研究课题“RCEP生效对河北省重点行业影响研究”(编号:SWT-RCEP-202213002)。

摘　　要：基于2006—2021年中国向RCEP成员国数字服务贸易出口面板数据,构建随机前沿引力模型,实证研究影响中国数字服务贸易出口效率的因素。结果表明:双边经济规模、RCEP成员国人口数量、拥有共同语言、与RCEP成员国签署包含数字服务贸易在内的协定条款、RCEP成员国提升本国通信服务能力以及提高投资开放水平对中国数字服务贸易出口具有显著促进作用;中国人口规模增长以及双方拥有共同边界会产生负向影响。因此,可从强化中国与RCEP成员国数字服务贸易合作、进一步升级双边自贸协定等级、提升RCEP成员国通信基础设施建设水平等方面入手,提高中国对RCEP成员国的贸易水平与能力。Based on the panel data of China’s export of digital services to RCEP member countries from 2006 to 2021,this paper constructs a stochastic frontier gravity model to empirically study the factors affecting the efficiency of China’s digital service trade export.The results show that the scale of bilateral economies,the population of RCEP member countries,the common language,the signing of agreement clauses including digital service trade with RCEP member countries,the improvement of RCEP member countries’communication service capabilities and the improvement of investment openness allhave a significant promoting effects on China’s digital service trade export;The growth of China’s population and the fact that both sides have a common border will have a negative impact.Therefore,China’s trade level and capacity with RCEP member countries can be improved by strengthening cooperation in digital service trade between China and RCEP member countries,further upgrading the level of bilateral free trade agreements,and enhancing the level of communication infrastructure construction of RCEP member countries.

关 键 词：RCEP 数字服务贸易 贸易潜力 随机前沿引力模型 

分 类 号：F752[经济管理—国际贸易]