对外贸易增长与碳排放的脱钩关系研究——以“一带一路”沿线省份为例  

Research on the Decoupling Relationship between Foreign Trade Growthand Carbon Emissions——Taking the Provinces along the“Belt and Road”as an Example

作　　者：朱雪琪 邵言波 ZHU Xueqi;SHAO Yanbo(College of Economics&Management,China Jiliang University Hangzhou,Zhejiang 310018)

机构地区：[1]中国计量大学经济与管理学院,浙江杭州310018

出　　处：《中国商论》2023年第23期32-35,共4页China Journal of Commerce

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目“‘一带一路’倡议下中国海外港口投资风险评估、预警与防范研究”(19BGJ024)。

摘　　要：“一带一路”倡议提出以来,我国对外贸易显著增长,在此过程中绿色发展一直是其发展底色。“双碳”目标提出后,我国更加重视节能减排,本文利用Tapio模型对我国“一带一路”沿线主要省(市)2005—2020年的碳排放与对外贸易脱钩关系进行研究,并从整体、区域和省域角度进行实证分析。结果显示:除特殊年份外,“一带一路”沿线经济带对外贸易与碳排放主要为弱脱钩关系,且呈现由弱脱钩向强脱钩过渡的趋势;从区域角度看,各个区域脱钩关系整体为东部优于西部;从省域角度看,以重庆、陕西为代表的省(市)脱钩发展路径值得借鉴。Since the“Belt and Road”Initiative was put forward,China’s foreign trade has grown significantly,and in the process,green development is always the basis.After the goals of“carbon peak and carbon neutrality”were proposed,China has paid more attention to energy saving and emission reduction.This paper uses the Tapio model to study the decoupling relationship between carbon emissions and foreign trade of major provinces or cities along the“Belt and Road”in China from 2005 to 2020 and examines their relationship from the overall,regional,and provincial levels.The results show that,except for special years,the relationship between foreign trade and carbon emissions in the economic zones along the“Belt and Road”is mainly weakly decoupled,and shows a tendency of transition from weak decoupling to strong decoupling;from a regional perspective,the decoupling relationship of each region is better in the east than in the west as a whole;from a provincial perspective,the decoupling development paths of the provinces or cities represented by Chongqing and Shaanxi are worthy of reference.

关 键 词：“一带一路” 对外贸易 Tapio模型 碳排放 脱钩关系 

分 类 号：F752[经济管理—国际贸易]