无缝隙地球系统理念下世界气象中心发展趋势浅析  

Preliminary Analysis on the Development Trends of World Meteorological Centres under the Concept of Seamless Earth System

作　　者：王毅 刘爽 代刊 李嘉睿 许万智[2] 郝伊一 Wang Yi;Liu Shuang;Dai Kan;Li Jiarui;Xu Wanzhi;Hao Yiyi(National Meteorological Centre,Beijing 100081;International Cooperation Department,China Meteorological Administration,Beijing 100081;Institute for Development and Programme Design,China Meteorological Administration,Beijing 100081)

机构地区：[1]国家气象中心,北京100081 [2]中国气象局国际合作司,北京100081 [3]中国气象局气象发展与规划院,北京100081

出　　处：《气象科技进展》2023年第5期28-32,44,共6页Advances in Meteorological Science and Technology

基　　金：中国气象局软科学研究项目(2021ZZXM25);气象联合基金项目(U2142207);国家重点研发计划(2020YFE0201900)。

摘　　要：世界气象中心是世界气象组织(WMO)全球数据处理和预报系统(GDPFS)三级体系中的顶层业务机构,通过提供全球监测预报信息产品为国际防灾减灾和可持续发展做出了突出贡献。本文系统回顾了目前世界气象中心的发展现状,重点围绕无缝隙地球系统发展的理念,介绍了无缝隙预报、人工智能、云计算等最新相关技术进展,并结合先进全球业务中心的战略计划及WMO的最新政策对未来世界气象中心的发展趋势进行了初步展望。The World Meteorological Centres(WMCs)are the top operational centres in the three-level Global Data Processing and Forecasting System(GDPFS)of the World Meteorological Organization(WMO).They have made outstanding contributions to international disaster prevention and mitigation as well as international sustainable development by providing global monitoring and forecasting information products.This paper systematically reviews the development status of WMCs at present.By focusing on the concept of Seamless Earth System,we introduced the latest development of seamless forecasting,AI,cloud computing,etc.,and made a preliminary outlook on the future development trend of WMCs based on the latest strategic plans of the advanced operational centres around the globe and the latest policies of the WMO.

关 键 词：世界气象中心 无缝隙预报 地球系统 数值天气预报 

分 类 号：P451[天文地球—大气科学及气象学]