民粹主义对欧洲主权债务风险影响的政治经济学分析  

The Political Economy Analysis of the Impact of Populism on European Sovereign DebtRisk

作　　者：刘蕴涵 LIU Yunhan

机构地区：[1]东华大学旭日工商管理学院,上海200051

出　　处：《上海商学院学报》2023年第5期108-120,共13页Business Economic Review

摘　　要：通过对20世纪80至90年代的拉美债务危机和21世纪的欧洲债务危机进行回顾,在比较制度的框架下从内部、外部制度两个方面,以及正式制度和非正式制度两个维度,对主权债务风险形成的民粹主义影响进行制度分析。无论欧元区成员国民族国家内部制度还是欧盟的外部制度安排,民粹主义政策对主权债务风险的形成和债务危机的爆发起到至关重要的影响作用。深入研究民粹主义所面临的政治经济环境对主权债务风险形成的影响,梳理出债务风险转化乃至形成危机的制度环境,深层次的政治经济学分析和启示就具有极其重要的价值。Through the review of the Latin American debt crisis in the 1980s to 1990s,and of the European debt crisis in the 21st century,this paper proposed a system analysis on the influence of populism on sovereign debt risk.It is based on the framework of comparative regimes structure including the two aspectsof internal and external system as well as the two dimensions of formal and informal system.Populist policies play a crucial role in the formation of sovereign debt risks and the outbreak of debt crises,regardless of the internal institutional arrangements within the nation-states of the Eurozone or the external institutional arrangements of the European Union.This paper has had an in-depth study on the influence of the political and economic environment faced by populism on the formation of sovereign debt risk.It also sorted out the regime environment of debt risk transformation and even the formation of crisis which is of great importance on the construction of the in-depth structure of political economy analysis and enlightenment.

关 键 词：主权债务 风险 民粹主义 政治经济学分析 

分 类 号：D082[政治法律—政治学] F815[经济管理—财政学] F0-0