第20届日本福冈世界游泳锦标赛中国队竞技实力分析  

A Comprehensive Analysis of China's National Swimming Team's Performance at the 2Oth FINA World Championships in Fukuoka,Japan

作　　者：李婉晴 黄诗萌[1] 刘海祥 杜熙茹[1] Li Wanqing;Huang Shimeng;Liu Haixiang;Du Xiru(Guangzhou Sport University,Guangzhou 510500,China)

机构地区：[1]广州体育学院,广东广州510500

出　　处：《体育科技文献通报》2023年第11期12-15,共4页Bulletin of Sport Science & Technology

基　　金：2022-2023广东省体育局科技创新和体育文化发展科研项目《广东省青少年游泳俱乐部“体教融合”的运行机制研究》(项目编号:GDSS2022N097)。

摘　　要：目的:梳理中国游泳项目的发展态势与特点,挖掘中国队的优势增长点。方法:运用Pareto分析、方差分析和数理统计等研究方法,对第20届游泳世锦赛中国队整体表现进行分析,力求发现中国游泳项目的发展趋势和现存问题,争取在巴黎奥运会上再次实现突破。研究表明:(1)中国队整体竞技实力稳定,夺金能力和总奖牌量为近三届世锦赛最好情况,跳水项目为第20届游泳世锦赛取得成绩的主要因素,游泳项目为次要因素,花样游泳为一般因素。(2)在奖牌数量上存在明显的项目差异:跳水项目竞技实力领先,游泳项目实现新的突破且夺牌数量有所增加,花样游泳项目保持稳定发挥,高台跳水、公开水域和水球项目没有奖牌入账而呈现出滞后状态。建议:在备战巴黎奥运会周期,跳水队继续保持大满贯的优势,游泳项目仍能增加奖牌量,花样游泳在新规则下可增加难度系数,大力发展水球、公开水域和高台跳水三大项目,以此进一步提升中国队的整体夺牌实力。OBJECTIVE:The purpose of this study is to dissect the developmental trends and unique characteristics of various swimming disciplines in China,while identifying the strengths and growth potential of the Chinese national team.METHODS:Employing research techniques such as Pareto analysis,variance analysis,and statistical methods,we analyzed the overall performance of the Chinese national team at the 2Oth FINA World Championships.Our goal was to uncover China's development trajectory,pinpoint existing issues,and work towards achieving breakthroughs at the Paris Olympics.RESULTS:(1)Team China has maintained stable competitive strength,with its ability to win gold medals and the total medal count being the best in the last three World Championships.Diving events are the primary contributing factor,swimming events are a secondary factor,and synchronized swimming plays a general role.(2)There are clear differences in the number of medals across different disciplines:Diving events are leading in competitive strength,swimming events have achieved increased medal counts through new breakthroughs,synchronized swimming maintains consistent performance,while high diving,open water,and water polo events have seen lagging development.Recommendations for preparing for the Paris Olympics include maintaining the diving team's dominance,increasing the number of medals in swimming events,raising the difficulty factor in synchronized swimming under new rules,and actively developing water polo,open water,and high diving disciplines to further enhance the overall medal-winning capability of the Chinese national team.

关 键 词：游泳世锦赛 中国队 竞技实力 

分 类 号：G861.1[文化科学—体育训练]