基于旅客选择行为的机场腹地划分研究  

Measuring the Size of Airport Catchment Area Based on Passenger's Travel Behavior

作　　者：于剑 熊文杰 陈俣秀 YU Jian;XIONG Wenjie;CHEN Yuxiu(China Civil Aviation Environment and Sustainable Development Research Center,Tianjin 300300,China;Civil Aviation University of China,College of Transportation Science and Engineering,Tianjin 300300,China)

机构地区：[1]中国民航环境与可持续发展研究中心,天津300300 [2]中国民航大学交通科学与工程学院,天津300300

出　　处：《综合运输》2023年第11期54-59,共6页China Transportation Review

基　　金：国家社会科学基金青年项目“对国内航班延误损失和影响的全面评估及航班延误”(13CGL005)。

摘　　要：机场腹地是机场地面集疏运网络和航线连通性的综合体现,也是航空公司评估旅客出行市场需求的重要依据。本文通过构建结合有限理性的旅客机场选择模型计算机场对不同地区旅客的吸引力。珠三角机场群的腹地结果表明:特定目的城市下的机场腹地因竞争环境而异,参与竞争的机场数量越多,机场腹地相对越小;整体腹地结果下,珠三角地区只有广州机场、深圳机场和珠海机场的腹地分布多个城市,佛山机场没有明显的腹地范围。研究结果为机场群协同发展和航空公司航线市场规划提供了一种理论分析方法。The airport catchment area of is a comprehensive embodiment of the airport's ground collection and distribution network and route connectivity,and it is also an important basis for airlines to evaluate travel demand.This paper constructs a model of passenger's travel behavior combined with limited rationality.The results of the Pearl River Delta Airport Group show that:1)Airport catchment area under specific cities varies according to the competitive environment.The more airports participating in the competition,the smaller airport catchment area size;2)In overall results,the catchment area of Guangzhou Airport,Shenzhen Airport and Zhuhai Airport involves multiple cities,and Foshan Airport shows no obvious catchment area range.The results provide a theoretical analysis method for the coordinated development of airport groups and airline route market planning.

关 键 词：机场腹地 旅客出行选择 前景理论 LOGIT模型 珠三角地区 

分 类 号：U125[交通运输工程]