How to Deal with the Trade-off between Development and Decarbonization for Rural Logistics in China?Evidence from Jiangsu  

作　　者：Xiaoyu Bian Jing Xu 

机构地区：[1]School of Economics and Management,Jiangsu University of Science and Technology,Zhenjiang,212013,China [2]Business School,Yangzhou University,Yangzhou,225009,China

出　　处：《Journal of Systems Science and Systems Engineering》2023年第6期656-686,共31页系统科学与系统工程学报（英文版）

基　　金：This work has been supported in part by National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.72103178);Humanities and Social Sciences Youth Foundation,Ministry of Education of the People’s Republic of China(22YJC790004);Zhenjiang Federation of Philosophical and Social Sciences(2022YBL31).

摘　　要：Rural logistics faces a dilemma between development and high carbon emissions in China.We assess the tension between rural logistics development and carbon emissions from the perspective of policy guidance by modeling a rural logistics system using Jiangsu’s data.We simulate the development trend of Jiangsu rural logistics under carbon abatement policies from 2021–2030,with a focus on promoting its development while simultaneously reducing carbon emissions at a minimal cost.The findings show that rural logistics will move towards high carbon emissions without a carbon abatement policy,while the huge tax pressure of carbon reduction policies reduces the profitability of rural logistics,leading to a trade-off between development and decarbonization.From the perspective of implementation timing and manner of carbon abatement policies implementation,we propose a pathway for securing the profitability of rural logistics and resolving the trade-off.

关 键 词：Rural logistics carbon emissions policy guidance decarbonization DEVELOPMENT trade-off 

分 类 号：F259.2[经济管理—国民经济]