面向科技大数据的颠覆性技术多维度识别算法  

Multidimensional Recognition Algorithm for Disruptive Technology in Sci-tech Big Data

作　　者：赵姝 郭双瑞[2] 褚晓泉 仇瑜 刘姝伶 ZHAO Shu;GUO Shuangrui;CHU Xiaoquan;QIU Yu;LIU Shuling(Key Laboratory of Intelligent Computing and Signal Processing of Ministry of Education,Hefei 230601;School of Computer Science and Technology,Anhui University,Hefei 230601;Information Materials and Intelligent Sensing Laboratory of Anhui Province,Hefei 230601;Department of Computer Science and Technology,Tsinghua University,Beijing 100084;Beijing Knowledge Atlas Technology Co.,Ltd,Beijing 100084)

机构地区：[1]智能计算与信号处理重点实验室,安徽合肥230601 [2]安徽大学计算机科学与技术学院,安徽合肥230601 [3]安徽省信息材料与智能传感实验室,安徽合肥230601 [4]清华大学计算机系,北京100084 [5]北京智谱华章科技有限公司,北京100084

出　　处：《中国科技资源导刊》2023年第6期49-61,共13页China Science & Technology Resources Review

基　　金：国家自然科学基金面上项目“异质信息网络的多粒度表示与知识获取方法研究”(61876001);安徽省高等学校自然科学研究项目“面向异构信息的多粒度知识推理模型及应用研究”(KJ2021A0039)。

摘　　要：颠覆性技术具备“重塑”科技与市场未来格局的潜力。为支持科技评估中颠覆性技术的识别任务,提出一种基于科技大数据的颠覆性技术自动化识别算法(MRA-DT)。首先,基于科技出版物引文网络结构、时序化特征、跨领域影响和技术时效性等信息,设计了4个维度的颠覆性技术识别指标,并采用熵权法进行结果融合。然后,在计算机科学和无线电通信领域进行实证研究。实证研究表明,MRA-DT算法是一种可靠的工具,可以为科技情报分析人员和相关管理者提供科技创新决策依据,对于企业抢占科技制高点、国家提升科技和国防实力具有重要意义。Disruptive technologies have the potential to reshape the future landscape of both technology and markets.This paper aims to propose an automated algorithm for identifying disruptive technologies based on big data analysis,which can support the identification of disruptive technologies in technology assessment.The algorithm utilizes information such as the citation network structure of technology publications,temporal features,cross-disciplinary impact,and technological timeliness to design four dimensions of indicators for identifying disruptive technologies,and adopts the entropy weighting method for result fusion.Empirical research was conducted in the fields of computer science and wireless communication.The results demonstrate that the MRA-DT algorithm is a reliable tool that can provide decision-making support for technology intelligence analysts and related managers in technology innovation,which is of significant importance for companies to seize technological high ground,and for countries to enhance their technological and defense capabilities.

关 键 词：颠覆性技术 科技评估 文献计量 CDt指数 熵权法 

分 类 号：G301[文化科学]