高铁与民航网络对房地产投资影响的对比研究  

A comparative study on the impact of high-speed rail and civil aviation networks on real estate investment

作　　者：游悠洋[1] 杨浩然 You Youyang;Yang Haoran(International Business School,Yunnan University of Finance and Economics,Kunming 650221,Yunnan,China;The Center for Modern Chinese Studies,East China Normal University,Shanghai,200062,China;Center for Studies of Administrative Division of China,East China Normal University,Shanghai,200241,China)

机构地区：[1]云南财经大学国际工商学院,云南昆明650221 [2]华东师范大学中国现代城市研究中心,上海200062 [3]华东师范大学中国行政区划研究中心,上海200241

出　　处：《地理科学》2023年第11期1965-1972,共8页Scientia Geographica Sinica

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(42001123);中央高校基本科研业务费项目(2022ECNU-XWK-XK001)资助。

摘　　要：通过对2009—2018年102个高铁民航双开通地级市的房地产投资开发额进行空间计量分析,对比高铁与民航网络演化对区域城市经济的影响,得到以下结论:①从节点强度演变来看,高铁网络相对于民航扩张迅速(尤其是2012年后的中西部地区)且覆盖渐广,以强度较小的节点密集覆盖为主;民航网络发展相对稳定,中西部地区跨区域交通依然以民航为主。②在高铁网络发展影响下,地级市房地产投资在中西部地区呈现空间集聚格局,而东部地区的房地产投资集聚则是受民航网络发展所促动。③相较民航,高铁的节点强度对房地产投资的影响程度更大,且影响力更为持久。基于GMM使用工具变量进行的动态面板检验,支持了模型的稳健性。As a major cross-regional transportation infrastructure,high-speed rail and civil aviation have dif-ferent degrees of impact on spatial governance and regional urban economy.Through spatial econometric ana-lysis of real estate investment and development in 102 prefecture-level cities(regions)with dual high-speed rail and civil aviation from 2009 to 2018,the impacts of high-speed rail and civil aviation network evolution on re-gional urban economy are compared.The following conclusions are drawn:1)In terms of node strength evolu-tion,the high-speed rail network has expanded rapidly and gradually covered a wider area compared to civil aviation,especially since 2012 in the central and western China,where the network is mainly characterized by dense coverage of nodes with relatively low strength;the development of civil aviation network is relatively stable and cross-regional transportation in the central and western regions still mainly relies on civil aviation.2)Under the influence of high-speed rail network development,real estate investment in prefecture-level cities in the central and western China shows a spatial agglomeration pattern,while the corresponding phenomenon of real estate investment agglomeration in the eastern China is driven by the development of civil aviation net-work.3)The impact of high-speed rail on real estate investment is greater,in terms of node strength,than civil aviation,and its influence is more persistent.Dynamic panel testing based on GMM using instrumental vari-ables supports the robustness of the model.

关 键 词：高铁 民航 房地产投资 城市节点强度 

分 类 号：F129.9[经济管理—世界经济]