农民适应行为的风险分析与乡村心态危机的柔性治理——基于数字乡村建设的公共管理情境  

Risk Analysis of Farmers’Adaptive Behavior and Flexible Governance of Mentality Crisis in Rural Area:Based on Public Management Situation of Digital Village Construction

作　　者：贾海薇[1] 李明磊 JIA Haiwei;LI Minglei(School of Public Administration,South China Agricultural University,Guangzhou,Guangdong 510642,China)

机构地区：[1]华南农业大学公共管理学院,广东广州510642

出　　处：《广州大学学报（社会科学版）》2023年第6期105-117,共13页Journal of Guangzhou University:Social Science Edition

基　　金：国家自然科学基金面上项目(72274064)。

摘　　要：党中央提出以“数字乡村建设”促进三农现代化,在试点建设地区,政府政策、信息经济、数字技术成为注入传统乡村的三大动力性源流。面对乡村整体性转型,农民面临重新适应的新挑战,个体心理与群体心态均在发生剧烈变迁。由于政府政策、信息经济、数字技术在不同时间段、不同空间内注入的非均衡性,农民可能采用“分离”“边缘”“整合”“同化”四种不同的适应行为策略,不同的行为策略产生的风险概率与危害程度各不相同。但单纯的风险性维度无法有效测量四种行为策略,需将其纳入“数字乡村建设”情境,综合“适应性、现代性、风险性”三维标向进行立体化分析,进而发现农民在面临适应行为风险与互联网技术风险叠加形成的共性心态危机之际,消极适应的农民将面对更多的危机挑战。针对农民群体心态危机的广泛性、复杂性、流变性,项目组建构了针对农民群体心态危机的柔性治理模型,并提出了一系列“怀柔治心、防险于先”的治理策略。The Party Central Committee proposed to promote the modernization of″San Nong″(agriculture,rural areas,and farmers)through″digital village construction″.In pilot construction areas,government policies,information economy,and digital technology are three major driving forces infused into traditional rural areas.Faced with comprehensive rural transformation,farmers encounter new challenges requiring adaptation,leading to significant changes of individual psychology and collective mentality in both.Through preliminary investigations,the″Digital Rural Modernization Project Team″,based on the comprehensive analytical framework of″Farmers Adaptive Behavior Risk and Group Mentality Crisis″,explored the impact of″exogenous risk factors″and″endogenous risk factors″of digital rural construction under the public management situation.Due to the uneven injection of government policies,information economy,and digital technology over different time periods and in different spatial situations,farmers may adopt four different adaptive behavior strategies:″separation″,″marginalization″,″integration″and″assimilation″.The probabilities and consequences of risks arising from these different strategies differ hugely.When the fluctuations of the farmers’mentality and the risks of Internet technology are superimposed,there will emerge the latest sources of risks and non-traditional insecurity factors in the rural areas.There are also a three-dimensional relationship between″adaptability,modernity,and risk″in the process of digital rural construction.In view of the extensiveness,complexity,and rheology of the risk of farmers′mentality,the project team constructed a flexible governance model for the crisis of farmers′mentality and proposed flexible governance strategies.

关 键 词：数字乡村 行为适应策略 农民群体心态 社会风险 柔性治理 

分 类 号：C916[经济管理] D630.8[社会学] D668[政治法律—政治学]