农业产业集聚与县域经济增长——来自河南现代农业产业园设立准自然实验的证据  

Agricultural Industrial Agglomeration and County Economic Growth:Evidence from the Establishment of Henan Modern Agricultural Industrial Park

作　　者：乔晗[1] 刘奥龙[1] 邱珂欣 QIAO Han;LIU Aolong;QIU Kexin(School of Economics,Henan University,Kaifeng 475004,China;School of Business,Macao University of Science and Technology,Macao 999078,China)

机构地区：[1]河南大学经济学院,河南开封475004 [2]澳门科技大学商学院,中国澳门999078

出　　处：《商业经济与管理》2023年第11期87-100,共14页Journal of Business Economics

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重大项目“乡村振兴的治理内涵与绩效测度研究”(22&ZD157);河南省软科学研究项目“乡村振兴背景下精准扶贫政策对河南省农村家庭消费的影响研究”(2224004103590);河南省高等学校智库研究项目“河南现代农业产业园发展成效评估与路径优化研究”(2023ZKYJ03);河南省高等学校重点研发项目“数字经济赋能河南省乡村振兴的内在机理与实现路径研究”(23A790011)。

摘　　要：以河南现代农业产业园的设立为准自然实验,利用2013—2021年河南省县级面板数据,构建多时点双差分模型考察农业产业集聚对县域经济增长的影响。研究表明:(1)现代农业产业园的设立显著推动了县域经济增长,这一结论在多项稳健性检验后仍然成立;(2)要素集聚、农业技术进步与产业融合是农业产业集聚驱动县域经济增长的主要机制,其中一二三产业协同形成的农业技术进步与产业融合,是其有别于传统制造业集聚的特有机制;(3)农业产业发展基础、经济结构以及财政支持强度均会对农业产业集聚的经济增长效应产生异质性影响,即农业产业基础弱、工业基础扎实和强财政支持产业园的县域,其农业产业集聚的经济增长效应更显著。This article treats the establishment of the Henan Modern Agricultural Industrial Park as a quasi-natural experiment.Utilizing panel data from county-level administrative units in Henan Province spanning from 2013 to 2021,we construct a multi-timepoint differences-in-differences model to examine the impact of agricultural industrial agglomeration on county economic growth.The study reveals that:(1)The establishment of the modern agricultural industrial park significantly propels county economic growth,a conclusion that holds true even after conducting various robustness checks.(2)Factor agglomeration,agricultural technological progress,and industry integration constitute the primary mechanisms through which agricultural industrial agglomeration drives county economic growth.Notably,the unique mechanism of agricultural technological progress and industry integration formed through the synergistic collaboration of the primary,secondary,and tertiary sectors distinguish it from the agglomeration observed in traditional manufacturing industries.(3)The economic growth effects of agricultural industrial agglomeration are subject to heterogeneous influences from natural endowments,economic structure,and the level of agricultural support.Specifically,counties with favorable agricultural foundations,robust industrial bases,and greater support for industrial parks exhibit more pronounced economic growth effects resulting from agricultural industrial agglomeration.

关 键 词：农业产业集聚 县域经济 现代农业产业园 双差分模型 

分 类 号：F301.0[经济管理—产业经济]