风险态度、制度信任对失地农民风险感知的影响  

The impact of risk attitude and institutional trust on risk perception among land-lost farmers

作　　者：邹秀清 温世聪 尹朝华 肖泽干[3] ZOU Xiu-qing;WEN Shi-cong;YIN Zhao-hua;XIAO Ze-gan(College of Economics and Management,Shanghai University of Electric Power,Shanghai 201306,China;China CITIC Bank Co.,Ltd.Nanchang Branch,Nanchang,Jiangxi 330000,China;College of Public Administration,Nanjing Agricultural University,Nanjing,Jiangsu 210014,China)

机构地区：[1]上海电力大学经济与管理学院,上海201306 [2]中信银行股份有限公司南昌分行,江西南昌330000 [3]南京农业大学公共管理学院,江苏南京210014

出　　处：《农业现代化研究》2023年第5期845-857,共13页Research of Agricultural Modernization

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目(19BGL214)。

摘　　要：剖析农民失地后感知的各类风险,深刻揭示失地农民的风险态度和制度信任对其风险感知的影响,对于政府征地安置工作具有重要参考意义。本文基于沪、赣、桂失地农民的问卷调查,通过构建失地农民风险感知评价体系,对失地农民的风险感知与风险态度进行测度,并采用多元有序Logit模型对失地农民的风险态度和制度信任对社会保障风险感知、经济收入风险感知、居住环境风险感知和社会心理风险感知的影响进行了实证分析。研究结果表明,失地农民的风险态度对于上述四类风险感知均存在显著正向影响,其中风险规避型的失地农民风险感知程度更为显著。此外,对制度的信任能够有效地降低失地农民的风险感知。异质性分析表明,风险规避态度对中低收入失地农民和中西部地区失地农民的风险感知具有强化作用;制度信任对高收入失地农民和东部地区失地农民的风险感知具有抑制作用。因此,在推进征地工作并保障失地农民的权益时,应纾解农民的风险规避态度、提升政府征地制度的信任度,以降低并有效控制失地农民所面临的潜在风险。Analyzing various risks perceived by land-lost farmers and profoundly revealing the impacts of risk attitude and institutional trust on risk perception have reference significance for the government's land acquisition and resettlement work.This article constructs a risk perception evaluation system based on a questionnaire survey of landlost farmers in Shanghai,Jiangxi,and Guangxi that measures the risk perception and attitude of land-lost farmers.Multinomial ordered logit model is used to analyze the impact of risk attitude and institutional trust on land-lost farmers' social security risk perception,economic income risk perception,residential environment risk perception,and psychosocial risk perception.The study found that the risk attitude of land-lost farmers has a significant positive impact on the four types of risk perception,among which risk-averse land-lost farmers have a higher degree of risk perception;however,institutional trust can effectively reduce risk perception.The heterogeneity analysis demonstrates that risk aversion has a strong effect on the risk perception of land-lost farmers in the middle and low-income groups and the midwest region.Institutional trust can inhibit the risk perception of land-lost farmers in high-income groups and the eastern region.In order to promote land acquisition work and protect the interests of land-lost farmers,it is necessary to relieve farmers' risk aversion attitudes,enhance institutional trust,and reduce and effectively control the potential risks of land-lost farmers.

关 键 词：风险态度 制度信任 风险感知 征地 失地农民 

分 类 号：F321.1[经济管理—产业经济]