基于面板数据的吉林省旺季现金运行趋势分析  

Analysis of Cash Operation Trend in Peak Season in Jilin Province Based on Panel Data

作　　者：赵曼曼 ZHAO Manman

机构地区：[1]中国人民银行吉林省分行,吉林长春130051

出　　处：《吉林金融研究》2023年第8期63-66,共4页Journal of Jilin Financial Research

摘　　要：现金供应旺季一般指每年元旦至春节这段时间。近年来,吉林省旺季现金净投放呈现波动上升态势,尤其是疫情三年期间,在经济增长缓慢甚至负增长的环境下,吉林省旺季现金净投放却逐年上升,其背后的原因值得深入探讨。除了不可控的宏观大环境的影响外,本文在分析影响吉林省旺季现金净投放的微观因素的基础上,运用吉林省9地市的2008-2022共15年的统计数据进行实证分析,进一步验证影响吉林省旺季现金净投放的现实因素,并提出针对性的解决措施。The peak cash supply season generally refers to the period from New Year's Day to the Spring Festival each year.In recent years,the net cash inflows during the peak season in Jilin Province have shown a fluctuating upward trend,especially during the three-year period of the epidemic.Despite slow or even negative economic growth,the net cash inflows during the peak season in Jilin Province have been increasing year by year.The reasons behind this are worth further exploring.In addition to the uncontrollable impact of the macro environment,based on the analysis of the micro factors affecting the net cash delivery in peak season in Jilin Province,this paper builds a panel model with the statistical data of nine cities in Jilin Province for 15 years from 2008 to 2022.Through the actual data to build a model,it further verifies the practical factors affecting the net cash delivery in peak season in Jilin Province,and proposes targeted solutions.

关 键 词：旺季现金 运行趋势 面板 

分 类 号：F830[经济管理—金融学]