农村劳动力转移、收入结构变化与储蓄倾向  

Rural Labor Transfer,Income Structure Change and Propensity to Save

作　　者：崔菲菲 杨静 彭小辉[2] CUI Feifei;YANG Jing;PENG Xiaohui(Nanjing Vocational University of Industry Technology,Nanjing 210023,Jiangsu;College of Business,Nanjing Normal University,Nanjing 210023,Jiangsu)

机构地区：[1]南京工业职业技术大学,江苏南京210023 [2]南京师范大学商学院,江苏南京210023

出　　处：《河北农业大学学报（社会科学版）》2023年第6期71-79,共9页Journal of Hebei Agricultural University (SOCIAL SCIENCES)

基　　金：江苏高校社科重大项目:“共同富裕目标下农民幸福感提升路径研究”(编号:2022SJZD146);国家社会科学基金项目:“失地对子女人力资本积累的影响、作用机制和干预政策研究”(编号:21BJY239);江苏省社科应用研究精品工程人才发展专项课题(编号:22SRC-15);南京工业职业技术大学人才引进科研项目。

摘　　要：传统经济学基于生命周期理论预测人们的消费储蓄行为更多地依赖于收入,但较少关注收入结构变化对消费储蓄行为的影响。为此,借鉴行为经济学“心理账户”理论,探讨了农户收入结构变化对家庭储蓄行为的影响,并基于1986—2017年山西农村固定观察点农户数据进行实证分析。结果发现:经营性收入占家庭收入的比重不断下降,工资性收入占比不断上升,已成为农户家庭第一大收入来源;进一步计量分析还发现,在不同收入来源中,工资性收入具有最高的边际储蓄倾向,工资性收入占比的不断上升是推动农村居民家庭储蓄率不断上升的重要动力,这为中国农村居民持续攀升的家庭储蓄率提供了新的解释。Based on the Life Cycle Theory,traditional economics predicts that people's consumption and saving behavior depends on income,but it pays less attention to the impact of income structure changes on consumption and saving behavior.Therefore,employing the"psychological account"theory in behavioral economics,this paper discussed the impact of household income structure change on household saving behavior,and conducted empirical analysis on rural household data of fixed observation points from 1986 to 2017 in Shanxi Province.It finds that the proportion of operating income in household income has been declining,while that of wage income has been rising,and it has become the largest source of income for rural households.Furthermore,among different sources of income,wage income has the highest marginal propensity to save.The rising proportion of wage income is an important driving force for the rising household saving rate of rural residents,which provides a new explanation for the rising household saving rate of rural residents in China.

关 键 词：劳动力转移 收入结构 储蓄倾向 

分 类 号：F832.1[经济管理—金融学]