撤县(市)设区对公共服务水平影响的研究——以杭州市为例  

Study on impact of turning counties(cities)into districts on public service level——A case study of Hangzhou

作　　者：章迪平[1] 张家辉 ZHANG Diping;ZHANG Jiahui(School of Science,Zhejiang University of Science and Technology,Hangzhou 310023,Zhejiang,China)

机构地区：[1]浙江科技学院理学院,杭州310023

出　　处：《浙江科技学院学报》2023年第6期457-466,共10页Journal of Zhejiang University of Science and Technology

基　　金：浙江省软科学研究计划项目(2023C35002);浙江省民政政策理论研究课题(ZMKT2022124)。

摘　　要：探究撤县(市)设区对地区公共服务水平的影响,以期为各省市的行政区划调整提供基于公共服务水平视角的对策建议。首先,运用模糊综合评价法对地区实施撤县(市)设区政策前后的公共服务水平进行综合评价,通过公共服务水平的前后对比初步推断撤县(市)设区所产生的影响;然后,采用多时点双重差分模型进行政策总体净效应检验;最后,运用标准双重差分模型进行异质性检验,将政策效应分解为医疗、教育、卫生、文化四个维度进行具体分析。撤县(市)设区实施后地区的公共服务水平显著高于实施前;撤县(市)设区确有显著提升地区公共服务水平的政策效应,且主要体现在医疗卫生和社会福利两方面;由于政策的时滞性、地区初始条件的差异性及行政区划调整政策的目的与倾向不同,撤县(市)设区对地区公共服务水平的实际效应具有异质性。本研究从政策推进、政策配套及政策内容三个方面为撤县(市)设区提供了一种基于公共服务水平的决策视角,对中国各省市的行政区划调整具有参考价值。The impact of turning counties(cities)into districts was explored on the regional public service level,with a view to providing countermeasures and suggestions based on the perspective of public service level for the adjustment of administrative divisions of provinces and municipalities.First of all,the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method was used to comprehensively evaluate the public service level before and after implementing the policy of turning counties(cities)into districts in the region,and the impact of turning counties(cities)into districts was preliminarily inferred through the before and after comparison of the public service level;then,the time-varying DID(difference in difference)model was employed to test the overall net effect of the policy;finally,the standard DID model was applied to test the heterogeneity,and the policy effect was decomposed into four dimensions:medical,education,health and culture.It is found that the regional public service level after implementation of the policy is significantly higher than that of before the implementation;turning counties(cities)into districts does have the policy effect of significantly improving the regional public service level,and is mainly reflected in both medical health and social welfare;the actual effect of turning counties(cities)into districts on the public service level is heterogeneous due to the time lag of the policy,the difference in the initial conditions of the region,and the different purpose and tendency of the administrative division adjustment policy.This study provides a decision-making perspective based on the public service level for turning counties(cities)into districts from the three aspects of policy promotion,policy support and policy content,with a reference value for the adjustment of administrative divisions in various provinces and municipalities in China.

关 键 词：撤县(市)设区 公共服务水平 模糊综合评价 双重差分 

分 类 号：F299.24[经济管理—国民经济]