长三角绿色生态一体化发展水平、属性与“双竞合”模式评估  

Evaluation of the Level,Attributes,and"Dual Compete-Cooperate"Model of Green Ecological Integrated Development in the Yangtze River Delta

作　　者：司增绰 姜茗瀚 张义 SI Zeng-chuo;JIANG Ming-han;ZHANG Yi

机构地区：[1]江苏师范大学商学院,江苏徐州221116 [2]凯斯西储大学魏德海管理学院,美国俄亥俄州克利夫兰44106

出　　处：《江苏师范大学学报（哲学社会科学版）》2023年第6期35-47,123,共14页Journal of Jiangsu Normal University：Philosophy and Social Sciences Edition

基　　金：2023年江苏省决策咨询研究基地课题(项目编号:23SSL054);四川高校社会科学重点研究基地——成渝地区双城经济圈科技创新与新经济研究中心项目(项目编号:CYCX2022YB015);江苏师范大学博士学位教师科研支持项目(项目编号:21XFRX020)阶段性成果。

摘　　要：基于一体化发展评估框架的构建,从绿色生态的科创、环境、市场和安全四个维度,构建评估体系,并基于2003-2019年长三角样本,运用熵权扰动属性模型和双竞合模型对其一体化发展进行评估。从发展水平看,长三角绿色生态一体化发展水平持续上升,但整体水平仍偏低,深入推进绿色生态发展正当其时。各地区发展严重不平衡,大致呈从东中-东南-东北-西部依次降低格局。从发展属性看,其历经了以粗放型发展为主的起步发展(2008年以前),到粗放与绿色生态发展并存的相持发展(2008-2012年),再到以绿色生态为主的加快发展(2013年及以后)三个阶段。发展类型主要分为动力引领和动力滞后两种类型,发展模式除铜陵为倒退型以外,其他则主要为渐进式、跨越式、跳跃式三种模式。从竞合发展看,不同地区间存在低竞合、偏竞争、偏合作和高竞合的四种模式,竞合结构比为:1.55∶3.92∶2.08∶1.00,内部高竞合孵化程度较低(11.69%),以偏竞争模式为主,地区间尚未真正形成良性的高水平竞合发展模式。This study establishes an assessment framework for integrated development,focusing on four dimensions of green ecology:scientific innovation,environmental sustainability,market dynamics,and security.Utilizing the Yangtze River Delta data from 2003to 2019,the Entropy Weight-Disturbance Attribute Model and Dual Compete-Cooperate Model are employed for evaluation.The findings reveal that the integrated green ecological development level in the Yangtze River Delta is on an upward trend,yet the overall level remains suboptimal,highlighting the urgency for enhanced green ecological progression.The regional development exhibits significant imbalances,decreasing from central-eastern to southeastern,northeastern,and western areas.The developmental attributes have transitioned through three phases:an initial phase marked by extensive development(pre-2008),aphase of concurrent extensive and green ecological development(2008-2012),and a phase post-2013characterized by accelerated green ecological growth.The development typology is bifurcated into dynamic leadership and dynamic laggard categories.Apart from Tongling,which exhibits a regressive mode,the development modes predominantly include progressive,leapfrog,and breakthrough styles.In terms of compete-cooperate development,four distinct modes emerge among regions:low compete-cooperate,competitionleaning,cooperation-leaning,and high compete-cooperate,with a structural ratio of 1.55:3.92:2.08:1.00.The internal high compete-cooperate incubation is relatively low(11.69%),dominated by a competition-leaning mode.A truly beneficial high-level compete-cooperate development paradigm has yet to materialize regionally.The study concludes with policy recommendations.

关 键 词：长三角 绿色生态 一体化 绿色市场 熵权扰动属性模型 双竞合模型 

分 类 号：F061.5[经济管理—政治经济学] N32[自然科学总论]