风险感知对施工企业与供应商演化博弈研究  

An evolutionary game study of building risk perception on construction enterprise and supplier

作　　者：陶成德龙 Tao Chengdelong(College of Hydraulic&Environmental Engineering,China Three Gorges University,Yichang Hubei 443002,China)

机构地区：[1]三峡大学水利与环境学院,湖北宜昌443002

出　　处：《山西建筑》2024年第1期185-190,共6页Shanxi Architecture

摘　　要：在大数据时代,我国信息技术快速发展,施工企业与供应商联盟关系的治理成为一个重要问题。为此,构建了“施工企业-供应商”的演化博弈模型。通过建立建筑大数据平台和引入风险感知理论,对施工企业和供应商的博弈演化路径和均衡点的变化进行数值分析。利用MATLAB仿真分析了不同参数对演化结果的影响。研究发现,有限理性和认知偏差导致系统难以收敛到最优稳定点。决策者的“收益”感知和“损失规避”程度影响了系统的演化结果,建筑大数据平台的激励和约束、积极合作获得好评的感知、投入的成本、积极合作带来的增益以及中途背叛造成的损失等参数都会影响施工企业和供应商的决策。In the era of big data,with the rapid development of information technology,how to research the construction enterprise and supplier alliance relationship governance,is a worthy question.Based on this background,this paper constructs an evolutionary game model of“construction enterprise-supplier”.Through the establishment of a building big data platform and the introduction of risk perception theory,the evolutionary path and the change of equilibrium point of the game between the construction enterprise and supplier are analyzed numerically,and the influence of different parameters on the evolutionary results is analyzed by MATLAB simulation.The results show that it is difficult for the system to converge to the optimal evolutionary stability point due to the bounded rationality and cognitive bias of the subject,and the degree of“gain”and“loss avoidance”of decision makers affects the evolutionary outcome of the system.The incentive and constraint of the construction big data platform,the perception of positive cooperation and good reputation,the input cost,the gain brought by positive cooperation,and the loss caused by midway betrayal and other parameters affect the decision-making between construction enterprises and suppliers.

关 键 词：建筑大数据平台 风险感知理论 联盟合作 演化博弈 数值仿真 

分 类 号：TU721[建筑科学—建筑技术科学]