基于气象监测数据的台风风场降尺度预测方法及应用研究  

Research on downscaling prediction method and application of typhoon wind field based on meteorological monitoring data

作　　者：张锋 张怡[2] 裘愉涛 王少华 张秋实 唐律 莫建国 ZHANG Feng;ZHANGY Yi;QIU Yutao;WANG shaohua;ZHANG Qiushi;TANG Lü;MO Jianguo(State Grid Zhejiang Electric Power Company,Hangzhou 310007,China;Zhejiang University of Water Resources and Electric Power,Hangzhou 310018,China)

机构地区：[1]国网浙江省电力有限公司,浙江杭州310007 [2]浙江水利水电学院,浙江杭州310018

出　　处：《能源工程》2023年第6期51-59,共9页Energy Engineering

基　　金：国家电网公司科技项目(SGZJ0000DKJS160-0431)。

摘　　要：本文基于电网气象监测数据,通过地形提取、风场数值模拟、流场动力特性分析建立了输电通道台风风场降尺度预测方法,实现了输电线路周边风场小尺度、高分辨率模拟预测,并提出了一种基于降尺度预测模型的台风灾害输电故障预警研判系统。该预测方法和灾害预警系统在某东部省级电网进行了应用实践并取得了明显的成效。Based on the power grid meteorological monitoring data,the terrain extraction,wind field numerical simulation and flow field dynamics characteristics,the downscaling prediction method for transmission channel typhoon wind field was established to achieve the transmission line around the wind field of small-scale,high-resolution simulation prediction,and proposed a downscaling prediction model based on the typhoon disaster transmission fault early warning research and judgment system.The prediction method and disaster warning system have been practiced in an eastern provincial power grid and achieved obvious results.

关 键 词：电网 气象监测数据 降尺度 台风 

分 类 号：TM73[电气工程—电力系统及自动化]