省域共同富裕水平测度、差异特征与空间收敛分析——基于PROMETHEE评价法的广东省城市数据研究  

Measurements,Differential Characteristics and Spatial Convergence Analysis of the Level of Provincial Common Prosperity——Research on City Data of Guangdong Province Based on PROMETHEE Method

作　　者：时朋飞 王梦君 龙荟冰 田子业 李星明[3] 杨毅[3] SHI Pengfei;WANG Mengjun;LONG Huibing;TIAN Ziye;LI Xingming;YANG Yi(College of Economics and Management,Southwest University,Chongqing 400715,China;School of Economics and Trade,Hunan University,Changsha 410079,China;School of Urban and Environmental Sciences,Central China Normal University,Wuhan 430079,China)

机构地区：[1]西南大学经济管理学院,重庆400715 [2]湖南大学经济与贸易学院,长沙410079 [3]华中师范大学城市与环境科学学院,武汉430079

出　　处：《西南大学学报（自然科学版）》2024年第1期112-130,共19页Journal of Southwest University(Natural Science Edition)

基　　金：国家社会科学基金青年项目(21CJY053).

摘　　要：共同富裕是社会主义的本质要求,对于整体发展水平高且内部板块发展差距大的省市进行共同富裕水平评估与分析具有重要的示范意义.在基于三生空间理论重新解构共同富裕指标体系的基础上,利用PROMETHEE评价法、泰尔指数、收敛模型对广东省共同富裕水平进行实证分析.结果表明:广东省共同富裕水平处于上升态势,整体上呈现由珠三角向外围降低的半圆形空间格局,粤东、粤西、粤北的多数城市处于低低集聚区;广东省共同富裕水平的提升具有区域不均衡性,差距主要来源于区域间,但差距呈逐渐减小趋势,同时粤东、粤西组内差距明显;广东省共同富裕水平存在σ收敛、绝对与条件β收敛,4个区域的绝对β收敛速度与条件β收敛速度的位序格局具有迥异性,省域内部板块间追赶效应显著;广东省城市间共同富裕水平存在显著的正空间相关性,产业结构与基础设施对周边城市共同富裕水平具有提升作用,而对外开放程度抑制邻域城市共同富裕水平提升.基于上述结论,本文提出培育不同层级增长极+强化区域网络关联度,抑制负向作用+强化正向作用(外生变量),以此促进广东省尽快实现共同富裕的目标.Common prosperity is the essential requirement of socialism,which is of great demonstration significance for the evaluation and analysis of the level of common prosperity in provinces and cities with high overall development levels,and huge development gaps between internal segments.On the basis of deconstructing the indicator system of common prosperity based on the three-life space theory,this paper uses the PROMETHEE method,Theil index and convergence model to conduct empirical analysis of the common prosperity level in Guangdong Province.The results show that:The level of common prosperity in Guangdong Province is increasing,with most cities in eastern,western,and northern Guangdong being in low-low agglomeration zones,and a semicircular spatial pattern that diminishes from the Pearl River Delta to the periphery.The level of common prosperity in Guangdong Province is characterized by uneven development,and the gap mainly comes from between regions,but the gap is gradually decreasing.The gap between the two groups of eastern and western Guangdong is obvious.Theσconvergence,absolute and conditionalβconvergence exist in the development level of common prosperity in Guangdong Province.There is obvious difference between the absoluteβconvergence rate and the conditionalβconvergence rate in the four regions,with significant catching-up effect among the intra-provincial plates.There is a significant positive spatial correlation in the level of common prosperity among cities in Guangdong Province,with an obvious spatial spillover effect.The industrial structure and infrastructure have an enhancing effect on the common prosperity level of surrounding cities,while the degree of openness will inhibit the common prosperity of neighboring cities.Based on the above findings,this paper proposes to cultivate different levels of growth poles,strengthen regional network correlation and suppress the negative effect,and strengthen the positive effect(exogenous variables)to promote Guangdong Province to achieve the goal of co

关 键 词：共同富裕 三生空间理论 偏好顺序结构评估法 泰尔指数 空间收敛 广东省 

分 类 号：F124.7[经济管理—世界经济] F127