基于变权物元可拓的中小机场空管运行安全态势评估  

Safety Situation Assessment of Air Traffic Control Operations at Small and Medium-sized Airports Based on Matter-element Extension Model with Variable Weight

作　　者：唐卫贞[1] 彭峻德 于千容 成昌浩 Tang Weizhen;Peng Junde;Yu Qianrong;Cheng Changhao(Civil Aviation Flight University of China,Guanghan 618307 Sichuan China)

机构地区：[1]中国民用航空飞行学院,四川广汉618307

出　　处：《中国民航飞行学院学报》2024年第1期14-18,共5页Journal of Civil Aviation Flight University of China

基　　金：中国民用航空局安全能力建设项目(NHAQ2022032)。

摘　　要：在建立了由人员因素、设备因素、环境因素、管理因素4个一级指标和16个二级指标的评估指标体系的基础上,根据层次分析法确定各指标的初始常权权重,引入变权向量后计算得到变权权重;结合物元可拓评估模型,得到量化的安全态势值。以某空管运行单位为例,得到的结果为“一般”,与专家评估结果和常权法模型评估结果相比较,证明了该评估模型的可行性,并且评估准确度优于传统模型。The paper establishes an assessment index system with 4 first-level indexes and 26second-level indexes for personnel factors,equipment factors,environmental factors and management factors,determines the initial constant weight of each index according to the hierarchical analysis method and then calculates the variable weight after introducing the variable weight vector to obtain the variable weight and combines with the material-element topological assessment model to obtain the quantized value of the safety posture.Taking an air traffic control operation unit as an example,the result obtained is "general",which proves the feasibility of the assessment model,and its accuracy is higher than that of the traditional model when compared with the results of the expert assessment and the assessment results of the constant power method model.

关 键 词：空管安全 物元可拓模型 变权理论 态势评估 

分 类 号：V355[航空宇航科学与技术—人机与环境工程]