黄河流域经济社会与生态环境协调发展特征  

Coordinative characteristics of economic-social development and ecological environment in the Yellow River Basin

作　　者：柳江 李志花 Liu Jiang;Li Zhihua(School of Economics,Lanzhou University of Finance and Economics,Lanzhou 730070,China)

机构地区：[1]兰州财经大学经济学院,甘肃兰州730070

出　　处：《中国沙漠》2023年第6期51-59,共9页Journal of Desert Research

基　　金：甘肃省基础研究计划-软科学专项(22JR4ZA073);兰州财经大学科研创新团队支持计划(数字经济与高质量发展科研创新团队)。

摘　　要：基于2000—2019年黄河流域九省区的面板数据,从经济发展、人民生活、教育发展、公共服务和资源环境5个角度建立了综合评价指标体系,运用区域协调发展测度模型、空间分析模型以及剪刀差模型,探讨了黄河流域区域协调发展过程中生态环境与经济社会发展的演变特征。结果表明:(1)黄河流域各省区的生态环境和经济社会发展协调程度差异化特征较为明显,不同地区之间的协调程度和变动趋势各有特点;(2)2000—2019年,各子系统之间的空间自相关程度表现为:公共服务>人民生活>教育发展>资源环境>经济发展,全局Moran's I值总体上处于较低水平;(3)黄河流域各省区生态环境系统与经济社会系统增长速率的剪刀差值变动比较稳定,呈现出相对平缓的趋势,大致在0.15水平范围内波动;(4)经济发展、人民生活、教育发展、公共服务和资源环境5个子系统之间的相关系数绝对值呈现出差异化特征。Based on the panel data of 9 provinces in the Yellow River Basin from 2000 to 2019,a comprehensive evaluation index system was established from five aspects of economic development,people's lives,education development,public service and resources-environment.The evolution characteristics of ecological environment and economic-social development in the process of regional coordinated development of the Yellow River Basin were discussed by using regional coordinated development measurement model,spatial analysis model and scissors difference model.The results are as follows:(1)The harmony degree of ecological environment and economic-social development in different provinces of the Yellow River Basin is obviously different.(2)From 2000 to 2019,the spatial autocorrelation degree between the subsystems is as follows:public service>people's life>education development>resources-environment>economic development,and the global Moran's I Index value is generally at a low level.(3)During the study period,the scissors difference between the growth rate of ecological environment and economic-social development is relatively stable,showing a relatively flat tendency,roughly within the range of 0.15 level.(4)The absolute value of correlation coefficient is different.

关 键 词：黄河流域 协调发展 Moran's I指数 剪刀差 时空分异 

分 类 号：F205[经济管理—国民经济]