智藏韧显:智能制造提升工业韧性的机理与证据  

Improving Resilience with Intelligent Manufacturing:Mechanism and Evidence for Intelligent Manufacturing to Enhance Industrial Resilience

作　　者：韩蓄 傅联英[1] 吕重阳 彭继宗 HAN Xu;FU Lian-ying;LYU Chong-yang;PENG Ji-zong(School of Economics and Finance,Huaqiao University,Quanzhou 362021,China;School of Economics,Shandong University,Jinan 250100,China;School of Statistics and Data Science,Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics,Nanchang 330013,China)

机构地区：[1]华侨大学经济与金融学院,泉州362021 [2]山东大学经济学院,济南250100 [3]江西财经大学统计与数据科学学院,南昌330013

出　　处：《研究与发展管理》2023年第6期46-59,共14页R&D Management

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目“支付平台风险生成机制及治理对策研究”(20YJA790011)。

摘　　要：智能制造正加速产业变革和产业链条重塑,为产业链韧性生成及增强提供了新动力。基于功能和过程视角,从补链、延链、固链、强链4个方面阐释智能制造对工业韧性的提升效应,提炼出工业结构多样化和技能结构高级化双重传导渠道。在此基础上,搜集了280个地级市的面板数据,采用双向固定效应模型识别智能制造对工业韧性的提升效应和作用机制。基准回归结果表明,智能制造显著提升了工业韧性,且经过改用工具变量估计法、使用遗漏变量敏感性分析法、排除同期其他政策干扰等系列稳健性测验后,智能制造的韧性提升效应依然显著。异质性分析结果发现,智能制造对工业韧性的提升效应在大中城市、胡焕庸线东侧城市以及工业型城市更为强劲。机制检验结果显示,智能制造通过增进工业结构多样化和促进劳动力技能结构升级,进而提升了工业韧性。研究结论为厘清智能制造影响工业韧性的因果逻辑和传导渠道提供了经验证据,为增强产业链韧性提供了新见解和新思路。Intelligent manufacturing is accelerating industrial transformation and industrial chain reshaping,providing new impetus for the generation and enhancement of industrial chain resilience.Based on the functional and process perspectives,it explained the enhancement effect of intelligent manufacturing on industrial resilience in four aspects:complementary chain,extended chain,solid chain and strong chain,and distilled the dual transmission channels of industrial structure diversification and advanced labor force skill structure.On this basis,it collected panel data of 280 prefecture-level cities,and used the double fixed-effect model to identify the causal effects and mechanisms of intelligent manufacturing on industrial resilience.The baseline regression results show that intelligent manufacturing significantly enhances industrial resilience,and the resilience-enhancing effect of intelligent manufacturing remains significant after a series of robustness tests.The results of the heterogeneity analysis reveal that the effect of intelligent manufacturing on industrial resilience is more significant in large and medium-sized cities,cities east of the Hu Huanyong Line,and industrial cities.The results of the mechanism test show that intelligent manufacturing enhances industrial resilience precisely by increasing the diversification of the industrial structure and promoting the upgrading of the labor force skill structure.The findings provide empirical evidence to clarify the causal logic and transmission channels of the impact of intelligent manufacturing on industrial resilience,and provide new insights and ideas to enhance industrial chain resilience.

关 键 词：智能制造 工业韧性 工业结构多样化 技能结构高级化 

分 类 号：F062.9[经济管理—政治经济学]