数字贸易测度研究——从聚焦数字实际交付服务到数字贸易全覆盖  

Research on the Measurement of Digital Trade:from Focusing on the Actual Digital Delivered Services to the Full Coverage of Digital Trade

作　　者：高晓雨 王梦梓 贾怀勤[2] Gao Xiaoyu;Wang Mengzi;Jia Huaiqin

机构地区：[1]国家工业信息安全发展研究中心 [2]对外经济贸易大学国际商学院

出　　处：《统计研究》2023年第11期17-28,共12页Statistical Research

摘　　要：数字贸易正在成为数字经济的重要组成部分和全球贸易的未来发展趋势。数字贸易区别于传统贸易最主要的特点在于是否通过数字化的方式实现交易,但目前各国按照服务类型而非交易方式统计服务贸易,为数字贸易测度带来挑战。本文基于联合国贸易和发展会议(UNCTAD)从“数字可交付贸易”到聚焦“数字实际交付贸易”的研究,对标经济合作与发展组织(OECD)《数字贸易测度手册》的数字贸易宽口径指标,确立宽口径的数字贸易核算框架,并采用贾怀勤(2018)提出的数字技术融合比计算方法,对我国2018—2020年数字贸易规模进行试测算。结果显示,2020年,我国数字贸易进出口规模为4.0万亿元人民币,其中,数字交付贸易规模1.32万亿元,数字订购服务贸易规模0.99万亿元,数字订购货物贸易按跨境电商计算,规模为1.69万亿。本文深化了数字贸易规模测算研究,为进一步完善我国数字贸易规模测算体系和提出促进数字贸易发展的战略措施提供参考依据。Digital trade is becoming an important part of the digital economy and a future trend of global trade.The main difference between digital trade and traditional trade is whether the transaction is realized in digital ways.Currently,most countries measure trade in services according to service types rather than transaction methods,which brings challenges to the measurement of digital trade.Based on the research of the UNCTAD from“digitally deliverable trade”to“actual digitally delivered trade”,and the OECD“Handbook on Measuring Digital Trade”about its full-caliber indicators on digital trade,the paper builds the digital trade measuring framework.Based on the calculation method of digital technology intergration ratio proposed by Jia Huaiqin(2018),we estimate the scale of Chinese digital trade from 2018 to 2020.The results show that in 2020,the scale of Chinese import and export for digital trade is 4 trillion RMB of which the scale of digitally delivered trade is 1.32 trillion RMB,the scale of digitally ordered trade in services is 0.99 trillion RMB,and the scale of digitally ordered trade in goods is 1.69 trillion RMB using the data of cross-border e-commerce.This paper deepens the research on the calculation of digital trade scale and provides a reference basis for further improving Chinese digital trade measurement and proposing strategies to promote the development of digital trade.

关 键 词：数字贸易 规模测度 融合比 两阶段 

分 类 号：C813[社会学—统计学]