基于MATSim的城市群客运网络疏散行为分析和策略研究  

Analysis and Strategy Research on Emergency Evacuation Behavior of Urban Agglomeration Passenger Network Based on MATSim

作　　者：聂士达 李成兵[1] 贺博威 NIE Shida;LI Chengbing;HE Bowei(School of Transportation Institution,Inner Mongolia University,Hohhot O1oo70,China)

机构地区：[1]内蒙古大学交通学院,呼和浩特010070

出　　处：《内蒙古大学学报（自然科学版）》2023年第5期491-498,共8页Journal of Inner Mongolia University：Natural Science Edition

基　　金：国家自然科学基金(62063023);内蒙古自治区高等学校青年科技英才支持计划项目(NJYT22099);内蒙古自然科学基金(2023MS05036)。

摘　　要：为研究城市群客运交通网络应急疏散行为和策略,基于实际地理信息数据,建立多运输方式下城市群公共交通客运网络及城市群被动应急疏散模型;基于实际交通数据,利用评分迭代优化的方法,提出基于MATSim的出行行为评分模型。以呼包鄂榆城市群为例,采用MATSim仿真软件标定模型参数,仿真突发事件下客流的应急疏散行为。结果表明:站点的客流激增会随城市群客运网络对其他站点客流产生显著影响;站点发生激增客流时,旅客在疏散路径选择上更倾向于火车站点,聚集人数较汽车站点高3.7倍;汽车客流疏散效率较火车提升44%。数据为管理者在突发事件下做出应急疏散策略提供了有效的支撑。In order to study emergency evacuation behavior and methods of passenger transport network in urban agglomeration,the public transport passenger network and the passive emergency evacuation model of the urban agglomeration under multi-transportation modes were established using the actual geographic information data.Base on the actual traffic data,the scoring iterative optimization method was used to propose a travel behavior scoring model by MATSim.Taking Hu-Bao-Er-Yu urban agglomeration as an example,the model parameters were calibrated using MATSim to simulate the emergency evacuation behavior of passenger flow.The results show that the surge in passenger flow at a station will have a significant impact on the passenger flows of other stations in the urban transport network;when a surge passenger flow occurs at a station,passengers tend to choose a train station as the evacuation route,and the number of gatherings is 3.7 times higher than that of the car station;the passenger flow evacuation efficiency of cars is 44%higher than that of trains.These results provides effective supports for managers to determine emergency evacuation strategies under emergencies.

关 键 词：综合运输 被动应急疏散 动态仿真 城市群 综合客运网络 

分 类 号：U113[交通运输工程]