数字经济、就业与劳动收入份额动态关系的实证  

An Empirical Analysis on Dynamic Relationship Between Digital Economy,Employment and Labor Income Share

作　　者：马国旺[1] 杨洋 李焙尧 Ma Guowang;Yang Yang;Li Beiyao(School of Economics,Tianjin University of Finance and Economics,Tianjin 300222,China;Tianjin Rural Commercial Bank,Tianjin 300061,China)

机构地区：[1]天津财经大学经济学院,天津300222 [2]天津农村商业银行股份有限公司,天津300061

出　　处：《统计与决策》2023年第24期136-141,共6页Statistics & Decision

基　　金：天津市社会科学规划项目(TJSSZX20-17)。

摘　　要：文章基于我国2011—2020年省际面板数据构建PVAR模型,从全国和区域层面探究数字经济、就业(用失业率衡量)与劳动收入份额间的动态关系。研究表明,三者间存在联动关系,同时也表现出一定的区域异质性:一方面,数字经济有助于提高整体就业,但其实际效果呈现“东强西弱”的空间格局;另一方面,数字经济对劳动收入份额在东部地区表现为促进作用,而在中西部地区呈现抑制作用。此外,失业率与劳动收入份额之间负向关联,二者对数字经济发展水平的促进作用均不显著,说明目前国内劳动力市场对数字经济的反馈作用甚微。Based on China’s provincial panel data from 2011 to 2020,this paper constructs a PVAR model to explore the dynamic relationship between digital economy,employment(measured by unemployment rate)and labor income share at the national and regional levels.The research shows that there is a linkage relationship among the three,also showing a certain regional heterogeneity:On the one hand,the digital economy helps to improve the overall employability,but its actual effect shows a spatial pattern of“strong in the east and weak in the west”;on the other hand,the digital economy has a promoting effect on the labor income share in the eastern region,while it has an inhibiting effect in the central and western regions.In addition,the unemployment rate and labor income share are negatively related to each other,and the promotion effect of both on the development level of the digital economy is not significant,indicating that the current domestic labor market has little feedback effect on the digital economy.

关 键 词：数字经济 失业率 劳动收入份额 PVAR模型 

分 类 号：F061.3[经济管理—政治经济学]