中国共同富裕推进能力的演化特征与空间关系  

Evolution Characteristics and Spatial Relationship of China’s Ability to Promote Common Prosperity

作　　者：李顺毅[1] 张洪峰 LI Shunyi;ZHANG Hongfeng(School of Economics,Guizhou University of Finance and Economics,Guiyang 550025,China)

机构地区：[1]贵州财经大学经济学院,贵州贵阳550025

出　　处：《统计与信息论坛》2024年第1期103-117,共15页Journal of Statistics and Information

摘　　要：共同富裕的推进能力是共同富裕在长期历史过程中取得实质性进展的基础。从基础保障能力、全面致富能力、共享发展能力、持续完善能力和认同达成能力这五个维度,构建中国共同富裕推进能力评价指标体系,测度2010—2020年中国30个省份共同富裕推进能力及障碍因子,运用Dagum基尼系数、Moran’s I指数和Kernel密度估计分别对共同富裕推进能力的空间特征和动态演进趋势进行实证分析。研究发现:(1)中国共同富裕推进能力在整体上呈现递增态势且保持较高增速,但共同富裕推进能力的区域差距仍然明显;共同富裕推进能力的主要障碍因子较多集中在基础保障能力和全面致富能力两个子系统中。(2)共同富裕推进能力的空间差距在小幅波动中保持平稳,差距尚未明显缩小,其主要来源是区域间差异;各省份共同富裕推进能力存在空间正相关,大部分省份呈现“高—高”集聚和“低—低”集聚的状态。(3)从动态演进来看,共同富裕推进能力分布呈现主峰位置右移、极化现象、曲线宽度拉大、右拖尾变长的形态特征,反映出中国共同富裕推进能力总体不断提升与地区差异并存的态势。The ability level of each region to promote common prosperity is the basis for achieving substantial progress in common prosperity.60 indicators are selected from the five sub-systems of basic guarantee ability,comprehensive enrichment ability,shared development ability,continuous improvement ability and identity attainment ability to construct an evaluation index system of China’s ability of promoting common prosperity,which measures the ability in 30 sample provinces from 2010 to 2020.Dagum Gini index,Moran’s I index and Kernel density estimation are used to empirically analyze the spatial characteristics and dynamic evolution trend of the ability to promote common prosperity.The findings are as follows:First,the ability to promote common affluence in China shows an increasing trend on the whole and keeps a high growth rate,but the regional gap of the ability to promote common affluence is still obvious.The main obstacle factors of the ability to promote common prosperity are mainly concentrated in the two subsystems of basic security ability and comprehensive prosperity ability.Second,the spatial gap in the ability to promote common prosperity remains stable in small fluctuations,and the gap has not been significantly narrowed,which is mainly caused by regional differences.There is a spatial positive correlation in all provinces,and most provinces show the states of“high-high”and“low-low”agglomeration.Third,from the perspective of dynamic evolution,the distribution of common prosperity promotion capacity shows the morphological characteristics of main peak position shifting to the right,polarization phenomenon,widening curve width,and changing right tail,reflecting the overall improvement of the common prosperity promotion capacity and the coexistence of regional differences.

关 键 词：共同富裕 推进能力 综合评价 时空特征 空间关系 

分 类 号：F123[经济管理—世界经济]