基于云模型的水光互补清洁能源基地容量配置方案优选  

Capacity allocation scheme optimization based on cloud model for a hydro-photovoltaic complementary clean energy base

作　　者：黄显峰[1] 周引航 张启凡 李大成 李旭 吴迪 HUANG Xianfeng;ZHOU Yinhang;ZHANG Qifan;LI Dacheng;LI Xu;WU Di(College of Water Conservancy and Hydropower Engineering,Hohai University,Nanjing 210098,China;School of Water Resources and Hydropower Engineering,Wuhan University,Wuhan 430072,China;POWERCHINA Guiyang Engineering Corporation Limited,Guiyang 550081,China;Hua’neng Lancang River Hydropower Inc.,Kunming 650214,China)

机构地区：[1]河海大学水利水电学院,江苏南京210098 [2]武汉大学水利水电学院,湖北武汉430072 [3]中国电建集团贵阳勘测设计研究院有限公司,贵州贵阳550081 [4]华能澜沧江水电股份有限公司,云南昆明650214

出　　处：《水利水电科技进展》2024年第1期44-51,共8页Advances in Science and Technology of Water Resources

基　　金：中国华能集团有限公司总部科技项目(HNKJ20-H20)。

摘　　要：为优选水光互补清洁能源基地容量配置方案,从安全性、环保性、经济性、技术性4个方面选取14个指标构建了综合评价指标体系,采用改进云模型方法对容量配置方案进行评价。改进云模型方法以基于层次分析法改进的云模型求解主观权重,以熵权法求解客观权重,组合赋权得到指标权重,再利用条件云发生器计算各指标的隶属度,最后根据级别特征值法计算容量方案等级评分,确定最优方案。将该方法应用于我国西南某清洁能源基地水光互补系统容量配置方案的优选,优选结果与集对分析法优选结果和实际选择方案均相符,证明了该方法的有效性与适用性。In order to optimize the capacity configuration scheme for a hydro-photovoltaic complementary clean energy base,a comprehensive evaluation index system was constructed by selecting 14 indicators from the 4 aspects of safety,environmental protection,economy,and technology.An improved cloud model method was used to evaluate the capacity configuration scheme.The improved cloud model based on analytic hierarchy process was used to solve the subjective weights,the entropy weight method was used to solve the objective weights,the combined weighting was used to obtain the indicator weights,and then a conditional cloud generator was used to calculate the membership degree of each indicator.Finally,based on the level eigenvalue method,the capacity scheme rating was calculated to determine the optimal scheme.The method was applied to the optimization of the capacity configuration scheme for a hydro-photovoltaic complementary clean energy base in Southwestern China.The optimization results are consistent with the set pair analysis method and the actual selection scheme,proving the effectiveness and applicability of the method.

关 键 词：水光互补系统 容量配置方案 改进云模型 组合赋权 集对分析 

分 类 号：TV213.9[水利工程—水文学及水资源]