制造业集聚、城镇化与城乡共同富裕——基于东北地区的实证研究  

Manufacturing Agglomeration,Urbanization and Urban-rural Common Prosperity:An Empirical Study Based on the Northeast Region of China

作　　者：唐晓华[1] 余建刚 Tang Xiaohua;Yu Jiangang

机构地区：[1]辽宁大学经济学院,沈阳110036

出　　处：《延边大学学报（社会科学版）》2024年第1期117-125,144,共10页Journal of Yanbian University：Social Science Edition

基　　金：教育部哲学社会科学研究重大课题攻关项目(14JZD018);国家社会科学基金青年项目(20CJY027)。

摘　　要：制造业集聚和城镇化进程中城乡共同富裕的演化趋向对实现高质量发展具有重要意义。基于东北地区的经验数据,通过PVAR模型实证检验了制造业集聚、城镇化与城乡共同富裕之间的动态关系。结果发现,长期内三者之间保持着稳定的均衡关系,且制造业集聚与城镇化均对城乡共同富裕具有显著的积极影响;短期内三者的动态关系没有达到最优,城镇化对城乡共同富裕的短期波动具有更为直接和明显的解释力,而制造业集聚对城乡共同富裕变化的解释力也在随着时间的推移而不断增强;制造业集聚、城镇化与城乡共同富裕之间的演进关系具有阶段性特征,由于存在较高的摩擦成本,制造业集聚与城镇化的互动并未实现良性累积。在高质量发展和共同富裕的双重目标下,东北地区应改善制造业集聚形态,着力于城镇化内涵发展与质量提升,促进制造业集聚与城镇化交互协同效应的循环累积,进而促进城乡共同富裕。The evolutionary trend of urban-rural common prosperity in the process of manufacturing agglomeration and urbanization is of great significance for achieving the high-quality development.Based on empirical data from the Northeast region,the dynamic relationship between manufacturing agglomeration,urbanization,and urban-rural common prosperity has been empirically tested by the PVAR model.Results show that there is a stable equilibrium relationship among the three in the long run,and both manufacturing agglomeration and urbanization have a significant positive impact on the common prosperity of urban and rural areas.In the short term,the dynamic relationship among the three has not reached the optimal level.Urbanization has a more direct and obvious explanatory power on the short-term fluctuations of urban-rural common prosperity,while the explanatory power of manufacturing agglomeration on the changes of urban-rural common prosperity is also increasing over time.The evolutionary relationship between manufacturing agglomeration,urbanization,and urban-rural common prosperity has staged characteristics.Due to the high friction costs,the interaction between manufacturing agglomeration and urbanization has not achieved a positive accumulation.Under the dual goals of high-quality development and common prosperity,the Northeast region should improve the form of manufacturing agglomeration,focus on the connotation development of urbanization and quality improvement,promote the cyclic accumulation of the synergistic effect between manufacturing agglomeration and urbanization,and thus put forward the urban-rural common prosperity.

关 键 词：制造业集聚 城镇化 城乡共同富裕 阶段性 互动 

分 类 号：F427[经济管理—产业经济] F299.27F126