“印太经济框架”对中印经济关系的影响及中国应对  

The Impact of Indo-Pacific Economic Framework on Sino-Indian Economic Relations and China's Response

作　　者：苏畅 杜文意[2] Su Chang;Du Wenyi

机构地区：[1]长江师范学院 [2]江苏师范大学

出　　处：《南亚研究季刊》2023年第4期80-98,158,159,共21页South Asian Studies Quarterly

基　　金：重庆市社科规划项目“‘一带一路’倡议下中印产业合作研究”(项目批准号:2018QNGJ08)的阶段性成果;教育部人文社科重点研究基地重大项目“‘印太战略’背景下中国与南亚国家经济关系研究”(项目批准号:2277D810026)的中期成果。

摘　　要：2022年美国启动了“印太经济框架”(IPEF),印度作为创始成员国有利用IPEF影响中印经济关系的主观意愿,中国也必须面对美国利用IPEF影响中印经济关系的客观事实,所以未来一段时期中印经济关系必将受到IPEF的影响。本文分析了IPEF对中印经济关系的潜在影响,并建立博弈模型探究中国的应对策略。本文认为,印度参加IPEF将使中印经济关系的竞争性增强,合作阻力增大,但中印经济关系的本质仍将是合作与竞争并存;中国反制及其成本引起印度损失的大小将会影响印度参加IPEF的概率。中国应主动加强与印度的经济合作关系,增强印度对华经济往来的获得感和依赖度,降低IPEF对印度的吸引力。In 2022,the United States launched the“Indo-Pacific Economic Framework”(IPEF).India,as a founding member,is willing to use IPEF to influence ChinaIndia economic relations.China must also face the objective fact that the United States uses the IPEF to influence China-India economic relations.This paper analyzes the potential impact of IPEF on China-India economic relations,and establishes a game model to explore China's coping strategies.This paper argues that India's participation in IPEF will enhance the competition and increase the resistance to cooperation in China-India economic relations,but the essence of China-India economic relations will be co-existence of cooperation and competition;The cost of China's countermeasures and the size of India's losses from countermeasures will affect the probability of India's participation in the IPEF.China should take the initiative to strengthen economic cooperation relations with India,enhance India's sense of gain and dependence on China's economic exchanges,and reduce the attractiveness of IPEF to India.

关 键 词：“印太经济框架”(IPEF) 中印经济关系 博弈论 

分 类 号：F114.3[经济管理—国际贸易]