江苏省县域城镇化与乡村可持续性耦合协调特征及其驱动机制  

Evolution Characteristics and Driving Mechanism of Coupling Coordination Between County Urbanization and Rural Sustainability in Jiangsu Province

作　　者：马随随 李传武[2,3] MA Sui-sui;LI Chuan-wu(College of Urban and Environmental Sciences,Northwest University,Xi’an 710127,China;College of Urban and Planning,Yancheng Teachers University,Yancheng 224007,China;North Jiangsu Institute of Agricultural and Rural Modernization,Yancheng Teachers University,Yancheng 224007,China)

机构地区：[1]西北大学城市与环境学院,陕西西安710127 [2]盐城师范学院城市与规划学院,江苏盐城224007 [3]盐城师范学院苏北农业农村现代化研究院,江苏盐城224007

出　　处：《长江流域资源与环境》2023年第12期2478-2491,共14页Resources and Environment in the Yangtze Basin

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(42271191);江苏高校哲学社会科学研究重点项目(2018SJZDI080);苏北农业农村现代化研究院开放课题(21NYNC005)。

摘　　要：厘清县域城镇化与乡村可持续性的协同机制,对落实以县城为载体的城镇化建设思路具有重要意义。基于土地利用遥感数据和相关统计数据,综合运用耦合协调度模型、相对发展度模型、地理探测器等方法对2000~2020年江苏省县域城镇化与乡村可持续性耦合协调度时空演化特征及其驱动机制进行分析。结果表明:(1)县域城镇化、乡村可持续性及二者耦合协调度均逐渐优化,耦合协调度完成了“拮抗阶段→磨合阶段→协调阶段”的跨越,空间上呈现“南高北低”的分异格局;(2)耦合协调类型以乡村可持续性滞后型和同步发展型为主,城镇化滞后型缺失,且总体上经历了由低层次类型向高层次类型的单向演进过程;(3)经济发展、政府行为和对外开放程度共同影响耦合协调状态且其驱动机制空间差异显著,因子交互能够实现两系统协同发展的乘数效应。据此,从差异化路径构建、跨区域联动及多主体协同等方面提出分类推进城乡融合共生的政策建议。It is of great significance to clarify the coordination mechanism between county urbanization and rural sustainability for implementing the idea of urbanization construction with the county as the carrier.Based on the remote sensing data of land use and related statistical data,the spatial-temporal evolution characteristics and corresponding driving mechanism of coupling coordination between county urbanization and rural sustainability in Jiangsu from 2000 to 2020 were analyzed,by using the coupling coordination degree model,relative development degree model and geographical detector.The results showed that:(1)The county urbanization,rural sustainability and their coupling coordination were gradually optimized.The coupling coordination degree had completed the leap of‘antagonistic stage→running-in stage→coordination stage’,presenting the spatial pattern of‘high in the south and low in the north’.(2)The types of coupling coordination mainly included rural sustainability lagging type and synchronous development type,and generally were experiencing the evolution process from low-level type to high-level type.(3)The spatial-temporal evolution of coupling coordination was mainly driven by the factors such as economic development,government behavior and openness.And the interaction of internal and external factors realized the multiplier effect of coupling coordination degree.Based on the research results,policy suggestions were put forward from the aspects of differential path construction,cross-regional linkage and multi-agent coordination to promote the integration and symbiosis of urban-rural areas.

关 键 词：县域城镇化 乡村可持续性 耦合协调 影响因素 江苏省 

分 类 号：F320[经济管理—产业经济]