泛亚铁路对中南半岛交通优势格局与区域开发结构的影响评价  

Impact of the Pan-Asian Railway on the transport superiority pattern and regional development structure of the Indo-China Peninsula

作　　者：张之幸 金凤君[1,2,3] 周雍康 陈卓 ZHANG Zhixing;JIN Fengjun;ZHOU Yongkang;CHEN Zhuo(Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research,CAS,Beijing 100101,China;Key Laboratory of Regional Sustainable Development Modeling,CAS,Beijing 100101,China;College of Resources and Environment,University of Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100049,China)

机构地区：[1]中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所,北京100101 [2]中国科学院区域可持续发展分析与模拟重点实验室,北京100101 [3]中国科学院大学资源与环境学院,北京100049

出　　处：《地理科学进展》2023年第12期2324-2336,共13页Progress in Geography

基　　金：国家自然科学基金青年科学基金项目(42001129);国家自然科学基金项目(4227011294)。

摘　　要：泛亚铁路是未来中国与东盟国家合作新通道,深刻影响着沿线国家基础设施互联互通和区域开发水平,对推进“一带一路”倡议深入实施具有重要意义。论文以1 km×1 km栅格为基本空间单元,刻画了泛亚铁路开通前后中南半岛的交通优势格局,解析了泛亚铁路对区域开发的支撑能力及其对区域开发结构的潜在影响。结果显示:①泛亚铁路能够显著提高沿线国家和地区的交通优势,形成“屮”字型空间格局,但也增强了交通优势空间分布的不均衡;②泛亚铁路开通后,中等及以上等级的交通优势区域面积占比从10.04%提高到37.34%,人口占比从46.05%提高到73.67%,对区域开发形成了良好的支撑能力;③泛亚铁路有利于提高中心城市的集聚能力和沿海城市对内陆地区的辐射吸引能力,形成跨国的沿海和沿海—内陆发展轴带,支撑环泰国湾区域开发结构的网络化。未来,中国与东盟的区域合作应以泰国湾地区为重点区域,打通国际陆海贸易新通道,支撑中国西部地区与中南半岛国家实现区域联动和国际合作。The Pan-Asian Railway is a new channel for cooperation between China and ASEAN countries in the future,which will profoundly affect the infrastructure connectivity and regional development level of countries along the route,and is of great significance for promoting the further implementation of the Belt and Road initiative.In order to conduct a cross-scale research of transport superiority,this study used the 1 km×1 km grid as the basic spatial unit,and selected the present and the future year as two time points for comparison.Based on the improved transport superiority model,we characterized the transport superiority pattern of the Indo-China Peninsula before and after the opening of the Pan-Asian Railway.We also explored the potential impact of changes of transport superiority on regional development.The main findings of the study are as follows:1)The Pan-Asian Railway can significantly improve the transport superiority of countries and regions along the route,forming a"屮"shaped spatial pattern,but also exacerbating the uneven distribution of transport superiority.The transport superiority of Singapore,western Malaysia,and Thailand shows a greater increase,and the gap with other countries has further widened.Areas with high transport superiority are scattered in central cities such as Bangkok,Hanoi,Ho Chi Minh City,and concentrated along the western coast of the Malay Peninsula.2)After the opening of the Pan-Asian Railway,the area of medium and above-level transport superiority regions increased from 10.04%to 37.34%,and the population proportion of these areas increased from 46.05%to 73.67%,providing strong support for regional development.3)The Pan-Asian Railway is beneficial for enhancing the agglomeration capacity of central cities and the radiation attraction of coastal cities to inland areas,weakening the restrictions on the circulation of factors across national boundaries.In addition,the opening of the Pan-Asian Railway can form a transnational coastal and coastal-inland development axis,and support

关 键 词：泛亚铁路 交通优势 区域分异 区域开发结构 中南半岛 

分 类 号：F531[经济管理—产业经济] F133