家庭生命周期视角下农户耕地撂荒行为差异及其影响因素——以江西省丘陵山区为例  

Differences in farmland abandonment behavior among farming households and influencing factors from the perspective of family life cycle:A case study of the hilly and mountainous areas in Jiangxi Province

作　　者：谢花林[1,2,3] 施佳颖 冷克诚 XIE Hualin;SHI Jiaying;LENG Kecheng(School of Applied Economics,Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics,Nanchang 330013,China;Institute of Ecological Civilization,Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics,Nanchang 330013,China;Technology Innovation Center for Land Spatial Ecological Protection and Restoration in Great Lakes Basin,Ministry of Natural Resources,Nanchang 330025,China)

机构地区：[1]江西财经大学应用经济学院,南昌330013 [2]江西财经大学生态文明研究院,南昌330013 [3]自然资源部大湖流城国土空间生态保护修复工程技术创新中心,南昌330025

出　　处：《资源科学》2023年第11期2170-2182,共13页Resources Science

基　　金：国家自然科学基金重点项目(41930757);国家自然科学基金项目(41971243);江西省宣传思想文化领域高层次人才专题项目(23ZXRC11)。

摘　　要：【目的】揭示家庭生命周期对农户耕地撂荒行为的作用机理,明晰不同家庭生命周期阶段耕地撂荒行为的差异化影响因素,以期为丘陵山区耕地撂荒分类治理提供决策参考。【方法】基于2020、2021年的江西省丘陵山区农户微观调研数据,借助Logit和Tobit模型探究了家庭生命周期对农户耕地撂荒决策及撂荒规模的影响,并利用中介效应模型检验劳动力非农转移在稳定期家庭对农户耕地撂荒行为的影响机制。【结果】①不同生命周期阶段的家庭耕地撂荒决策和撂荒规模存在显著差异性。相较于抚养期家庭,稳定期和空巢期家庭撂荒耕地的概率更高,稳定期、赡养期和空巢期家庭耕地撂荒规模更大。②相对于抚养期家庭,稳定期家庭可以通过劳动力非农转移的增加间接影响农户耕地撂荒规模。③不同家庭生命周期阶段耕地撂荒行为的影响因素存在异质性。【结论】应充分考虑不同家庭生命周期农户的撂荒行为特征,有针对性地提出耕地撂荒治理策略。[Objective]The purpose of this study was to reveal the mechanism of impact of family life cycle on farming households’farmland abandonment behavior,clarify the influencing factors of farmland abandonment behavior at different stages of the family life cycle,and provide a decision-making reference for farmland abandonment management in hilly and mountainous areas.[Methods]Based on the theoretical analysis and using the micro-survey data of farming households in the hilly and mountainous areas of Jiangxi Province from 2020 to 2021,we constructed the Logit and Tobit models,empirically analyzed the influence of family life cycle on farming households’decisions to abandon farmland and the scale of farmland abandonment,and examined the influencing factors of farmland abandonment behavior in different family life cycle stages.[Results]The results show that:(1)The decisions and scale of farmland abandonment at different family life cycle stages are obviously different.Compared to the families in the supporting period,the possibility of abandoning the farmland was significantly higher for those in the stable period and the empty-nest period,and the scale of the abandoned farmland increased in the stable period,the maintenance period,and the empty-nest period.(2)Compared to the families in the supporting period,the families in the stable period can indirectly influence the scale of farmland abandonment by increasing rural labor transfer to non-agricultural sectors.(3)There is a heterogeneity in the factors that affect farmland abandonment behavior at different stages of the family life cycle.[Conclusion]In conclusion,it is necessary to fully consider the characteristics of farmland abandonment behavior of farming households at different stages of family life cycle,and provide targeted strategies of farmland abandonment governance.

关 键 词：耕地撂荒 家庭生命周期 农户 劳动力非农转移 中介效应 Logit模型 江西省丘陵山区 

分 类 号：F323.211[经济管理—产业经济]