新型林业经营主体政策性森林保险需求的影响因素分析  

Factors Influencing Government-oriented Forest Insurance Demands of New Forestry Management Entities

作　　者：萧建秀 刘璨 肖慧 侯方淼[1] 刘浩 Xiao Jianxiu;Liu Can;Xiao Hui;Hou Fangmiao;Liu Hao(School of Economics and Management,Beijing Forestry University,100083,P.R.China;College of Economics and Management,Beijing University of Agriculture,102206,P.R.China;Development Research Center,National Forestry and Grassland Adminstration,Beijing,100714,P.R.China)

机构地区：[1]北京林业大学经济管理学院 [2]北京农学院经济管理学院 [3]国家林业和草原局发展研究中心

出　　处：《北京林业大学学报（社会科学版）》2024年第1期31-39,共9页Journal of Beijing Forestry University ：Social Sciences

基　　金：2019年国家自然科学基金项目“改革开放40年来我国集体林产权制度及相关林业政策对农户林业生产要素配置及其收入影响-基于多层次长期大样本动态路径”(71873043);国家林业和草原局委托项目“新一轮集体林改及配套改革对我国林产品进口贸易的影响研究”(JYCL-2020-00013)。

摘　　要：采用6个省(自治区)15个县市485个新型林业经营主体样本实地调研的2015—2018年面板数据,对新型林业经营主体森林保险需求的影响因素进行实证分析。结果表明:受灾面积和受灾损失每增加1个单位,分别会引起新型林业经营主体对政策性森林保险的需求增加1.728个单位和1.704个单位;生产费用和家庭收入每增加1个单位,分别会引起新型林业经营主体对政策性森林保险的需求增加0.213个单位和0.052个单位;基础设施投入和财务费用投入每增加1个单位,分别导致新型林业经营主体对政策性森林保险的需求下降0.303个单位和0.05个单位。此外,进一步检验了经营规模对政策性森林保险需求的调节作用。针对研究结果,从进一步推动林业生产规模化、促进保险产品多样化、加大政府对森林保险的扶持等方面提出建议。This paper uses panel data from a sample of 485 new forestry management entities in 15 counties and cities in 6 provinces of China from 2015-2018 field research to empirically analyze the factors affecting entities'demand for government-oriented forest insurance.The results of the study show that:each increase of 1 unit in the affected area and damage caused an increase of 1.728 unit and 1.704 unit,respectively,in the demand for government-oriented forest insurance by new forestry management entities;each increase of 1 unit in production costs and income caused an increase of 0.213 unit and 0.052 unit,respectively,in the demand for government-oriented forest insurance by new forestry management entities;each increase of 1 unit in infrastructure investment and financial cost investment caused a decrease of 0.303 unit and 0.05 unit,respectively,in the demand for government-oriented forest insurance by new forestry management entities.In addition,the moderating effect of operation scale on the demand for government-oriented forest insurance was further tested.In response to the research results,this paper proposes policy recommendations in terms of further promoting the scale of forestry production,promoting the diversification of insurance products,and increasing government support for forest insurance.

关 键 词：新型林业经营主体 政策性森林保险需求 面板Logit模型 调节效应 

分 类 号：F842.6[经济管理—保险] F326