产业链供应链安全评估与应对策略  

Industrial and Supply Chain Security Assessment and Response Strategies

作　　者：冯耕中[1,2] 刘祺[1,2] 朱佳雯 刘昀皓 FENG Gengzhong;LIU Qi;ZHU Jiawen;LIU Yunhao(School of Management,Xi'an Jiaotong University,Xi'an 710049,China;Key Laboratory of Process Management and Efficiency Engineering,Ministry of Education,Xi'an 710049,China)

机构地区：[1]西安交通大学管理学院,陕西西安710049 [2]过程管理与效率工程教育部重点实验室,陕西西安710049

出　　处：《西安交通大学学报（社会科学版）》2023年第6期106-116,共11页Journal of Xi'an Jiaotong University：Social Sciences

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重大项目(20&ZD053)。

摘　　要：近年来,大国博弈、地缘战争、新冠病毒感染等因素叠加,全球产业链供应链经历系统性重构和历史性变革,其稳定畅通面临严峻挑战。面对新形势和新挑战,党的二十大报告明确提出,着力提升产业链供应链韧性和安全水平。如何准确评估产业链供应链安全状况,以更好应对未来的安全威胁和风险挑战,成为事关国家安全与发展的重大问题。本研究围绕“产业链供应链安全评估与应对策略问题”,基于数据驱动开展三个方面研究:其一,探究产业链供应链安全内涵和影响因素,构建产业链供应链图谱自动生成模型,以问题为导向刻画产业链供应链业务场景;其二,构建产业链供应链安全评估方法,实现可量化的产业链供应链安全评估结果;其三,研究重点产业链安全稳定监测和应对策略,构建新形势下我国塑造产业链供应链安全环境的政策工具箱。研究发现,安全的产业链供应链应当具有较强的控制力与创新力以及稳定的结构,且在面对发展环境变化或者外部冲击时,仍能维持上下游产业关系的稳定,保证产业链供应链各环节正常运营与动态均衡发展。在此基础上,提出了以产业链供应链控制力、产业链供应链创新力、产业链供应链结构安全和产业链供应链发展环境为一级指标的产业链供应链安全评价体系,并利用多源数据对产业链供应链安全进行评价。本评价体系突破了以往研究仅关注核心企业的局限性,将分析对象拓展到整条产业链,实现定量的产业链供应链安全评价。基于大数据文本抓取与分析技术,建立了政策行动动态监测与自动提取系统,实现了高效和自动的政策行动信息收集与梳理,提供了可供借鉴的典型行动集。本研究成果为分析产业链供应链安全问题提供了新视角,为评估产业链供应链安全水平和发掘短板提供了新方法,为打造富有韧性的产业链供�In recent years,the superposition of factors such as major power games,geopolitical wars,and COVID-19 has led to systematic reconstruction and historical changes in the global industrial and supply chain.In the face of new situations and challenges,the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China clearly proposed to focus on improving the resilience and security level of the industrial and supply chain.How to accurately evaluate the security situation of the industrial and supply chain,and better respond to future security threats as well as risk challenges has become a major issue for the national security and development.This study focuses on“industrial and supply chain security assessment and response strategies”,and conducts three aspects of research based on data-driven approaches.Firstly,we explore the connotation and influencing factors of industrial and supply chain security,construct an automatic generation model of industrial chain supply chain graph,and characterize industrial chain and supply chain business scenarios with a problem-oriented approach;Secondly,we develop an industrial and supply chain security assessment method to achieve quantifiable industry chain supply chain security assessment results;Thirdly,we explore the key industrial chain security and stability monitoring and response strategies,and design a policy toolbox for shaping the supply chain security environment of industrial chains in China under the new situation.This study finds that a secure industrialand supply chain should be consisted of strong innovation and control capabilities,a stable structure,and it can also maintain the stability of upstream and downstream industrial relationships in the face of changes in the development environment or external shocks,which ensures the normal operation and dynamic balanced development of all links in the industrial and supply chain.On this basis,this study proposes an industrial and supply chain security evaluation system that takes the control power of the industrial an

关 键 词：产业链供应链安全 评价体系 政策工具 数据驱动 

分 类 号：F124[经济管理—世界经济]