海南省能源碳排放量的影响因素分析  

Analysis of Influencing Factors of Energy Carbon Emission in Hainan Province

作　　者：吴茂 李敏纳[1,2] 许志海 王杰 党丹妮 孔云杰 李坤 Wu Mao;Li Minna;Xu Zhihai;Wang Jie;Dang Danni;Kong Yunjie;Li Kun(Hainan Key Laboratory of Ecological Civilization and Land and Sea Development,Hainan Normal University,Haikou 571158,Hainan,China;School of Economics and Management,Hainan Normal University,Haikou 571158,Hainan,China;College of Geography and Environmental Science,Hainan Normal University,Haikou 571158,Hainan,China)

机构地区：[1]海南师范大学海南省生态文明与陆海统筹发展重点实验室,海南海口571158 [2]海南师范大学经济与管理学院,海南海口571158 [3]海南师范大学地理与环境科学学院,海南海口571158

出　　处：《绿色科技》2023年第23期201-207,共7页Journal of Green Science and Technology

基　　金：海南师范大学重点培育项目(编号:RZ2100002280)。

摘　　要：在理论分析能源碳排放量影响因素与运用碳排放因子法对2005-2021年海南省能源碳排放量进行测度的基础上,借助主成分回归法定量筛选了海南省能源碳排放量的影响因素。结果表明:2005-2021年海南省能源碳排放量呈上升态势,能源碳排放结构由以煤炭碳排放为主转为以油品碳排放为主,煤炭能源碳排放量有所减少;人口规模、城市化水平、对外贸易水平、产业结构、经济发展水平均是海南省能源碳排放量的促增因素,能源强度是海南省能源碳排放量的抑制因素,能源结构对海南省能源碳排放量的影响不显著。因此,借鉴广东经验,完善碳普惠机制;依托政策优势,加强“双碳”国际交流合作;立足资源禀赋,推广清洁能源使用,有利于海南省能源碳减排取得更大突破。Based on the theoretical analysis of the influencing factors of energy carbon emissions and the measurement of energy carbon emissions in Hainan Province from 2005 to 2021 by carbon emission factor method,the principal component regression method was used to quantitatively screen the influencing factors of energy carbon emissions in Hainan Province.The results show that the energy carbon emission of Hainan Province from 2005 to 2021 shows an upward trend,and the energy carbon emission structure has changed from coal carbon emission to oil carbon emission,and the coal energy carbon emission decreases somewhat.Population size,urbanization level,foreign trade level,industrial structure and economic development level are all promoting factors of energy carbon emissions in Hainan Province.Energy intensity is the inhibiting factor of energy carbon emissions in Hainan Province,and energy structure has no significant influence on energy carbon emissions in Hainan Province.Therefore,the carbon inclusive mechanism should be improved by learning from the experience of Guangdong;international exchanges and cooperation on "dual carbon" should be strengthened by relying on policy advantages;Based on the resource endowment and promoting the use of clean energy,Hainan will make greater breakthroughs in energy carbon emission reduction.

关 键 词：能源碳排放量 影响因素 理论分析 海南省 

分 类 号：F127[经济管理—世界经济]