暴雪灾害下机场基础设施韧性研究  

Study on resilience of airport infrastructure under blizzard weather

作　　者：黄信 谭成松 吴堃 齐麟[1] 陈宇 HUANG Xin;TAN Chengsong;WU Kun;QI Lin;CHEN Yu(School of Transportation Science and Engineering,Civil Aviation University of China,Tianjin 300300,China)

机构地区：[1]中国民航大学交通科学与工程学院,天津300300

出　　处：《中国安全科学学报》2023年第12期198-205,共8页China Safety Science Journal

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助(52278542);国家重点研发计划项目(2021YFB2600500);中国民航大学配套专项项目(3122023PT05)。

摘　　要：为确保重大自然灾害下机场运行安全,基于物理韧性、功能韧性、经济韧性和组织韧性4个维度,建立暴雪灾害下机场基础设施韧性指标体系,采用专家问卷调查法评价韧性指标,构建验证性因子分析(CFA)模型,系统分析各类韧性指标对机场基础设施韧性水平的影响。采用CFA模型确定评价指标权重,基于模糊综合评价,量化评价某机场基础设施韧性水平。结果表明:暴雪灾害下,机场基础设施韧性评价指标具有较好的信度和收敛效度,韧性指标评价体系具有较强说服力;相对物理、经济和组织韧性而言,功能韧性对机场基础设施韧性影响最为显著。采用模糊综合评价,某机场基础设施模糊综合评价值为734,表明该机场基础设施具有较好的韧性水平,说明提出的量化评价方法能够用于基础设施韧性评价。To ensure the safety of airport operations under major natural disasters,the resilience index system consisted of physical resilience,functional resilience,economic resilience and organizational resilience was proposed,and the resilience index was evaluated by expert questionnaires.CFA model was established,and the influence of various resilience index on the resilience of airport infrastructure was systematically analyzed.The weight of the evaluation index was determined by CFA model.Based on a fuzzy comprehensive evaluation,the resilience level of airport infrastructure was evaluated.Results show that the established evaluation index of airport infrastructure resilience has good reliability and convergence validity.The proposed evaluation system of resilience indexes is reasonable.Compared with the physical,economic and organizational resilience,the functional resilience is the most significant for the resilience of airport infrastructure.Through fuzzy comprehensive evaluation,the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation value of airport infrastructure is 73.4,which indicates that the airport infrastructure has a good resilience level,and the proposed quantitative evaluation method can be used to evaluate the resilience of infrastructure.

关 键 词：暴雪灾害 机场基础设施 韧性指标 验证性因子分析(CFA)模型 模糊综合评价 

分 类 号：X915.5[环境科学与工程—安全科学]