主体功能区视角下山东省国土空间格局演变及驱动因素分析  

Evolution Characteristics and Influencing Factors of Territorial Spatial Pattern in Shandong from the Perspective of Major Function Oriented Zoning

作　　者：薄立明 尹力 魏伟[1,2,3] 赵浪 夏俊楠 BO Liming;YIN Li;WEI Wei;ZHAO Lang;XIA Junnan(China Institute of Development Strategy and Planning,Wuhan University,Wuhan 430072;School of Urban Design,Wuhan University,Wuhan 430072;Research Center of Hubei Human Settlements Environment Engineering Technology,Wuhan University,Wuhan 430072;School of Resource and Environmental Sciences,Wuhan University,Wuhan 430072,China)

机构地区：[1]武汉大学中国发展战略与规划研究院,湖北武汉430072 [2]武汉大学城市设计学院,湖北武汉430072 [3]湖北省人居环境工程技术研究中心,湖北武汉430072 [4]武汉大学资源与环境科学学院,湖北武汉430072

出　　处：《地理与地理信息科学》2024年第1期37-46,共10页Geography and Geo-Information Science

基　　金：湖北省自然科学基金面上项目(2023AFB794);教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目(23YJA630003);高密度人居环境生态与节能教育部重点实验室开放课题(20220108)。

摘　　要：从主体功能区视角判读国土空间格局时空演变是完善和落实主体功能区战略以及协调国土空间资源配置的重要抓手。该文以“主体功能”为标尺,运用空间转换矩阵、随机森林回归模型、最优参数地理探测器等方法定量分析2000—2020年山东省国土空间格局演变及驱动因素,结果表明:①研究期内山东省城镇空间剧烈扩张、生态空间稳步增加,农业空间大规模缩减,各主体功能区内国土空间格局不断向其主体功能定位演变;②农业空间转城镇、生态空间是山东省主导交叉转换类型,邻近中心城市的农产品主产区中城镇空间大规模退化为农业空间,沿湖沿海重点生态功能区中“填湖造田”“围海造地”导致“由水转地”演变现象显著;③国土空间格局演变受社会经济政策、自然地理交通因素的综合驱动,主体功能区战略、政府财政投入、重大土地工程和第一、二产业发展诉求等因素尤其关键,不同因素对不同类型空间转换的驱动作用存在显著差异。The analysis of spatial-temporal evolution of territorial spatial pattern from the perspective of the major function oriented zoning(MFOZ)can depict spatial evolution characteristics in the implementing of territorial space development and protection basic system,and reveal the driving role of natural,social and other influencing factors.Based on the"major function"of territorial space,this paper quantitatively analyzes the evolution and influencing factors of territorial spatial pattern in Shandong from 2000 to 2020 by using spatial transformation matrix,random forest regression model and optimal parameter geographical detector.It is found as follows.①From 2000 to 2020,the territorial spatial patterns within each major functional zone in Shandong evolved to align with the designated functional roles.This change accompanied by a dramatically expand in urban space,a steady increase in ecological space while a reduce in agricultural space.②The transition from agricultural space to urban and ecological space was particularly significant.Moreover,the functional transfer from urban space in the major agricultural production zone adjacent to the central city to agricultural space was also significant.Only a small amount of ecological space transferred to urban space and agricultural space in the coastal areas or along the lake.These reflect the interaction form of territorial space in different major functional zones is significantly affected by their designated functional roles.③The spatial-temporal evolution of territorial space in Shandong is affected by both geographical-traffic factors and social-economic factors.The influence of different factors on different types of space transformation is significantly different.

关 键 词：主体功能区划 国土空间规划 三区空间 空间格局 影响因子 山东省 

分 类 号：F301.24[经济管理—产业经济]