金融发展能否均衡经济增长和“碳达峰”?  

On Balance between Economic Growth and"Carbon Peaking"by Financial Development

作　　者：陈蕾[1] 钟金盛 CHEN Lei;ZHONG Jin-sheng(School of Finance and Economics,Jimei University,Xiamen 361000,China)

机构地区：[1]集美大学财经学院,福建厦门361000

出　　处：《宜春学院学报》2023年第11期18-25,共8页Journal of Yichun University

基　　金：厦门社科重点(基地)项目“厦门市科技金融服务协同系统建设研究”(项目编号:厦社科研[2023]B40号)。

摘　　要：能否在2030年前实现碳达峰目标,“十四五”时期非常关键。基于1998-2019年30个省份的数据,探索金融发展是否有助于经济增长和碳排放的均衡。首先用脱钩指数分析经济增长和碳排放之间的关系,发现各省脱钩指数呈倒U型,随后加入金融发展变量通过PVAR模型进行验证,实证结果表明金融发展减缓了经济增长,降低了二氧化碳强度,有助于经济发展和碳排放的均衡。若要早日实现碳达峰,各省需共同努力,积极开发新能源,降低二氧化碳强度,加快金融转型,构建碳金融市场。To achieve the carbon peak goal by 2030,the"14th five year plan"period is very critical.Based on the data of 30 provinces from 1998 to 2019,explore whether financial development contributes to the balance of economic growth and carbon emissions.Firstly,the decoupling index is used to analyze the relationship between economic growth and carbon emissions.It is found that the decoupling index of each province is in an inverted U shape.After adding the financial development variable,it is verified by pvar model.The empirical results show that financial development slows down economic growth and reduces the intensity of carbon dioxide,It is conducive to economic development and the balance of carbon emissions.If we want to achieve the carbon peak as soon as possible,all provinces need to work together to actively develop new energy,reduce carbon dioxide intensity,accelerate the transformation of finance and build a carbon financial market.

关 键 词：金融发展 经济增长 二氧化碳强度 碳达峰 

分 类 号：F832.1[经济管理—金融学]