Can Talent Policies Attract Population Inflows?—An Empirical Analysis Based on Spatial Panel Modeling  

作　　者：Xiaohong JIN Jian XU Cuihong YANG Qingyun Lü 

机构地区：[1]School of Economics and Management,University of Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100049,China [2]Academy of Mathematics and Systems Sciences,Chinese Academy of Sciences,Beijing 100190,China [3]School of Economics and Management,University of Chinese Academy of Sciences [4]School of Business,The University of Warwick,Coventry CV48UW,United Kingdom

出　　处：《Journal of Systems Science and Information》2023年第6期726-744,共19页系统科学与信息学报（英文）

基　　金：Supported by the Social and Science Fund of Xinjiang(17BKS008);the National Natural Science Foundation of China(71988101)。

摘　　要：To analyze the spatial influence mechanism of talent policy on population flow, this study compares the government work reports of 31 provinces between 2008 and 2020, and quantifies regional talent policies in nine aspects, including talent evaluation and incentives, utilizing a comprehensive, standardized, and continuous approach. Additionally, this paper develops a spatial econometric analysis model and expands on the conventional neighborhood, distance, and economic matrices by constructing a spatial weight matrix that reflects talent flow. The findings indicate that population movement exhibits spatial clustering patterns. The regional government's talent policy, primarily based on talent evaluation and incentives, positively influences population inflow. Moreover, during the implementation of talent policies, local governments demonstrate cooperative relationships. The inter-regional spillover effect between talent evaluation and talent incentives is significantly positive. In other words, a stronger local talent evaluation policy, along with robust talent incentives, encourages population inflow from neighboring provinces. However, this conclusion may vary in different regions and over time. Recently, the spatial spillover effect of population inflow and the impact of talent policies have not shown significant results. Additionally, the attractiveness of talent evaluation in the eastern region surpasses that of talent incentives, while the opposite holds true for the central and western regions. This study investigates the impact of local government talent policies on population inflow and its spatial spillover effect, offering theoretical support for intergovernmental cooperation.

关 键 词：talent policy population mobility spatial econometric modeling 

分 类 号：C924.2[社会学—人口学] C964.2